Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kom Podgorica vs Budva

Montenegro Montenegro

Druga Liga
Kom Podgorica Logo

Kom Podgorica

1 - 3
FT
Budva Logo

Budva

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Lijesevic N.
10' Event
Sakamaki H.
12' Event
Lijesevic N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Budva in this Druga Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Budva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Kom Podgorica
30%
Draws
29%
Budva
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kom Podgorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Budva haven't matched Kom Podgorica's recent run of results.
  • Kom Podgorica are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Kom Podgorica Clean Sheet 14%
Budva Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kom Podgorica Budva
Matches Played 29 6
Wins 10 2
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 2
Goals Scored 1.14 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.28 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.87 1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Druga Liga
Kom Podgorica vs Budva
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kom Podgorica Compare

Top Goalscorer Sakamaki H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.43

Budva Compare

Top Goalscorer Lijesevic N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Perisic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.44
Avg xA / game 0.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kom Podgorica 39 / 100
Budva 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kom Podgorica Budva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kom Podgorica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Kom Podgorica scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Budva conceded in 67% of 6 recent games.

Kom Podgorica went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kom Podgorica VS Budva
0.88 Goals Scored 1.29
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.86
75% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Kom Podgorica

(Home)
12 Sept
Kom Podgorica
0 : 0
Berane
05 Sept
Lovcen
0 : 2
Kom Podgorica
29 Aug
Kom Podgorica
2 : 0
Jedinstvo
23 Aug
FK Podgorica
2 : 1
Kom Podgorica
16 Aug
Kom Podgorica
1 : 3
Budva
Page 1 of 6

Budva

(Away)
16 Sept
Berane
1 : 1
Budva
12 Sept
Zeta
0 : 0
Budva
06 Sept
Budva
1 : 2
Iskra Danilovgrad
29 Aug
Rudar
0 : 3
Budva
23 Aug
Budva
1 : 2
Grbalj
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zeta 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
2 FK Podgorica 6 2 4 0 10:6 10
3 Jedinstvo 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
4 Budva 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
5 Rudar 6 2 2 2 8:10 8
6 Kom Podgorica 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
7 Iskra Danilovgrad 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
8 Lovcen 6 2 1 3 9:14 7
9 Grbalj 5 1 3 1 4:5 6
10 Berane 6 0 2 4 3:8 2
Promotion - Prva Crnogorska Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Promotion - Druga Liga (Relegation)