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Kongsvinger vs Egersund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Gjemselund Stadion, Kongsvinger
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Mbow M.
21'
Kleppa H.
28' Event
Dybevik A.
Assist: Langrekken L.

AI Match Summary

The OBOS-ligaen game between Kongsvinger and Egersund finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kongsvinger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kongsvinger
30%
Draws
19%
Egersund
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kongsvinger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Egersund haven't matched Kongsvinger's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kongsvinger's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Kongsvinger Clean Sheet 15%
Egersund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kongsvinger Egersund
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 3.32 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Egersund vs Kongsvinger
1:1
May 1, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Egersund
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Egersund
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Egersund vs Kongsvinger
2:2
Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Kongsvinger vs Egersund
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kongsvinger Compare

Top Goalscorer Dybevik A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Langrekken L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.88
Avg xA / game 1.88

Egersund Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonsson I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kongsvinger 84 / 100
Egersund 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kongsvinger Egersund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kongsvinger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kongsvinger's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Kongsvinger went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Egersund's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Kongsvinger VS Egersund
5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kongsvinger

(Home)
05 Oct
Moss
0 : 2
Kongsvinger
20 Sept
Kongsvinger
5 : 1
Hodd
16 Sept
Eidsvold TF
2 : 3
Kongsvinger
13 Sept
Egersund
1 : 1
Kongsvinger
05 Sept
Kongsvinger
9 : 1
Raufoss
Page 1 of 6

Egersund

(Away)
02 Oct
Ranheim
5 : 0
Egersund
20 Sept
Odds BK
5 : 1
Egersund
16 Sept
Jerv
1 : 2
Egersund
13 Sept
Egersund
1 : 1
Kongsvinger
06 Sept
Lyn
1 : 1
Egersund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 24 18 1 5 74:39 55
2 Kongsvinger 24 16 5 3 70:35 53
3 Stromsgodset 24 15 6 3 61:31 51
4 Stabaek 24 14 3 7 57:31 45
5 Odds BK 24 11 6 7 50:38 39
6 Bryne 24 12 2 10 33:31 38
7 Hodd 24 10 4 10 40:48 34
8 Ranheim 24 9 4 11 61:58 31
9 Egersund 24 8 5 11 36:49 29
10 Lyn 24 8 4 12 39:49 28
11 Strommen 24 7 5 12 38:55 26
12 Sandnes Ulf 24 7 4 13 35:45 25
13 Moss 24 7 4 13 38:54 25
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 24 5 5 14 34:53 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)