Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kongsvinger vs Sogndal

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Gjemselund Stadion, Kongsvinger
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Oren M.
2' Event
Dybevik A.
Assist: Christiansen R.
6' Event
Langrekken L.
Assist: Job D.

AI Match Summary

Kongsvinger in this OBOS-ligaen matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kongsvinger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kongsvinger
6%
Draws
4%
Sogndal
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kongsvinger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kongsvinger have won more games recently than Sogndal.
  • Win probability leans Kongsvinger's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Kongsvinger Clean Sheet 10%
Sogndal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kongsvinger Sogndal
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.38 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Sogndal
5:1
Sep 28, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Kongsvinger
2:2
Jun 14, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Sogndal
4:2
May 7, 2025 NM Cup
Sogndal vs Kongsvinger
3:4
Nov 2, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger vs Sogndal
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kongsvinger Compare

Top Goalscorer Langrekken L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dybevik A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Sogndal Compare

Top Goalscorer Hovland E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kongsvinger 83 / 100
Sogndal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kongsvinger Sogndal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kongsvinger found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Sogndal let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Kongsvinger has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kongsvinger VS Sogndal
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Kongsvinger

(Home)
03 Jul
Kongsvinger
5 : 1
Sogndal
27 Jun
Haugesund
4 : 2
Kongsvinger
21 Jun
Kongsvinger
4 : 4
Stromsgodset
14 Jun
Hodd
1 : 2
Kongsvinger
31 May
Kongsvinger
3 : 1
Asane
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Sogndal

(Away)
03 Jul
Kongsvinger
5 : 1
Sogndal
27 Jun
Sogndal
4 : 2
Egersund
21 Jun
Raufoss
3 : 1
Sogndal
14 Jun
Sogndal
2 : 4
Moss
31 May
Strommen
2 : 3
Sogndal
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haugesund14101343:2631
2Kongsvinger1493236:2130
3Stromsgodset1484241:2228
4Stabaek1483332:1627
5Odds BK1473427:1924
6Hodd1463522:1921
7Sandnes Ulf1462622:2020
8Ranheim1462634:3420
9Egersund1461724:2519
10Bryne1452719:2317
11Moss1452723:3217
12Sogndal1443725:3615
13Lyn1441917:3013
14Raufoss1441917:3113
15Asane1441920:3012
16Strommen1432918:3611
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)