Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Koninklijke HFC vs Barendrecht

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Spanjaardslaan, Haarlem
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Ladan D.
Assist: Vlak G.
46'
Sub
Jouhri N. In: Rook K.
Out: Jouhri N.
59'
Sub
Donker N. In: de Wilde L.
Out: Donker N.

AI Match Summary

The Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 game between Koninklijke HFC and Barendrecht finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barendrecht.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Koninklijke HFC
20%
Draws
40%
Barendrecht
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barendrecht come out ahead of Koninklijke HFC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Koninklijke HFC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Barendrecht have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Koninklijke HFC Clean Sheet 12%
Barendrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koninklijke HFC Barendrecht
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Koninklijke HFC vs Barendrecht
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Koninklijke HFC vs Barendrecht
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Koninklijke HFC
2:0
Feb 22, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Koninklijke HFC vs Barendrecht
0:0
Sep 28, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Koninklijke HFC
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Koninklijke HFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ladan D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Barendrecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Jongman J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Graaf T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koninklijke HFC 47 / 100
Barendrecht 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koninklijke HFC Barendrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Koninklijke HFC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barendrecht let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Koninklijke HFC found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Koninklijke HFC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Koninklijke HFC VS Barendrecht
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Koninklijke HFC

(Home)
05 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
2 : 2
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
01 Sept
Longa '30
0 : 4
Koninklijke HFC
29 Aug
Jong Almere City
1 : 2
Koninklijke HFC
22 Aug
Koninklijke HFC
1 : 2
Barendrecht
15 Aug
HSV Hoek
3 : 1
Koninklijke HFC
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Barendrecht

(Away)
05 Sept
Spakenburg
1 : 3
Barendrecht
29 Aug
Barendrecht
0 : 2
Katwijk
22 Aug
Koninklijke HFC
1 : 2
Barendrecht
15 Aug
Barendrecht
1 : 3
Hardenberg
04 Aug
SV Poortugaal
2 : 2
Barendrecht
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 34 19 10 5 69:35 66
2 De Treffers 34 18 9 7 64:37 63
3 HSV Hoek 34 19 6 9 60:37 63
4 Rijnsburgse Boys 34 16 8 10 76:55 56
5 Hardenberg 34 17 5 12 58:44 56
6 Spakenburg 34 16 8 10 72:60 56
7 Katwijk 34 15 7 12 60:55 52
8 Jong Almere City 34 15 5 14 70:62 50
9 Kozakken Boys 34 13 8 13 47:55 47
10 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 9 13 71:73 45
11 AFC 34 12 9 13 46:54 45
12 Barendrecht 34 13 4 17 62:84 43
13 RKAV Volendam 34 13 3 18 50:62 42
14 GVVV 34 12 6 16 52:67 42
15 Koninklijke HFC 34 12 3 19 33:49 39
16 IJsselmeervogels 34 9 4 21 46:65 31
17 Excelsior Maassluis 34 8 7 19 39:58 31
18 ACV Assen 34 7 9 18 48:71 30
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)