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Konkola Blades vs Mutondo Stars

Zambia Zambia

Super League
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Konkola Blades
28%
Draws
22%
Mutondo Stars
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Konkola Blades

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Konkola Blades have won more games recently than Mutondo Stars.
  • Win probability leans Konkola Blades's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Konkola Blades Clean Sheet 20%
Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Konkola Blades Mutondo Stars
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 13 14
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Super League
Konkola Blades vs Mutondo Stars
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Konkola Blades
1:2
Apr 6, 2024 Super League
Konkola Blades vs Mutondo Stars
0:0
Nov 4, 2023 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Konkola Blades
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Konkola Blades 49 / 100
Mutondo Stars 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Konkola Blades Mutondo Stars

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Konkola Blades scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Mutondo Stars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Konkola Blades stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Konkola Blades VS Mutondo Stars
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%