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Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium, Konya
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Match Events

10'
Susoho M.
11'
Inan S.
36'
Agyei D.

AI Match Summary

The Super Lig game between Konyaspor and Kocaelispor finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kocaelispor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Konyaspor
20%
Draws
56%
Kocaelispor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kocaelispor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Konyaspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Super Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Konyaspor Clean Sheet 18%
Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Konyaspor Kocaelispor
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.22 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Super Lig
Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Konyaspor
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Super Lig
Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor
2:3
Mar 28, 2010 1. Lig
Kocaelispor vs Konyaspor
0:2
Nov 1, 2009 1. Lig
Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Konyaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Kocaelispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Haidara M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Altunbas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Konyaspor 36 / 100
Kocaelispor 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Konyaspor Kocaelispor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kocaelispor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Konyaspor found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Kocaelispor conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Konyaspor stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Konyaspor VS Kocaelispor
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Konyaspor

(Home)
30 Sept
Konyaspor
2 : 2
Palestine
18 Sept
Kasimpasa
0 : 0
Konyaspor
12 Sept
Konyaspor
1 : 0
Trabzonspor
05 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0
Konyaspor
29 Aug
Konyaspor
1 : 2
Kocaelispor
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Kocaelispor

(Away)
19 Sept
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Gaziantep
13 Sept
Galatasaray
1 : 0
Kocaelispor
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
Samsunspor
29 Aug
Konyaspor
1 : 2
Kocaelispor
24 Aug
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Amedspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 7 5 1 1 16:11 16
2 Amedspor 7 4 2 1 17:9 14
3 Fenerbahce 7 4 1 2 19:6 13
4 Trabzonspor 7 4 1 2 16:5 13
5 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
6 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
7 Alanyaspor 7 3 3 1 8:6 12
8 Kasimpasa 7 2 4 1 8:8 10
9 Rizespor 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 Genclerbirligi 7 2 2 3 7:15 8
12 Erzurumspor FK 7 2 2 3 3:11 8
13 Corum FK 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
14 Basaksehir 6 2 1 3 10:11 7
15 Konyaspor 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
16 Samsunspor 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
17 Goztepe 6 0 3 3 11:15 3
18 Eyupspor 6 1 0 5 2:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)