Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kopavogur vs Afturelding

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Kórinn, Kópavogur
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Gunnarsson A.
22' Event
Eiriksson H.
Own Goal
30'
Bjarkason O.

AI Match Summary

Kopavogur in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kopavogur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kopavogur
15%
Draws
45%
Afturelding
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afturelding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Afturelding have won more games recently than Kopavogur.
  • Win probability leans Kopavogur's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Kopavogur have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Kopavogur Clean Sheet 10%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kopavogur Afturelding
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 19
Draws 2 2
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 2.31 2.82
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Division 1
Kopavogur vs Afturelding
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 League Cup
Afturelding vs Kopavogur
1:2
Aug 5, 2022 Division 1
Afturelding vs Kopavogur
0:1
May 27, 2022 Division 1
Kopavogur vs Afturelding
2:0
Feb 20, 2021 League Cup
Kopavogur vs Afturelding
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kopavogur Compare

Top Goalscorer Gunnarsson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Radic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Afturelding Compare

Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kopavogur 74 / 100
Afturelding 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kopavogur Afturelding

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kopavogur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kopavogur scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Afturelding let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Kopavogur remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kopavogur VS Afturelding
3 Goals Scored 3.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kopavogur

(Home)
13 Aug
Kopavogur
2 : 1
Leiknir Reykjavik
09 Aug
Volsungur
3 : 2
Kopavogur
24 Jul
Njardvik
3 : 2
Kopavogur
20 Jul
Kopavogur
6 : 2
Vestri
14 Jul
Kopavogur
5 : 1
IR Reykjavik
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Afturelding

(Away)
13 Aug
Fylkir
3 : 3
Afturelding
07 Aug
Afturelding
4 : 1
Grindavik
29 Jul
Throttur
4 : 1
Afturelding
21 Jul
Fylkir
1 : 2
Afturelding
16 Jul
Afturelding
3 : 2
Leiknir Reykjavik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 17 11 2 4 51:29 35
2 Throttur 18 10 4 4 38:19 34
3 Fylkir 18 11 1 6 38:29 34
4 Njardvik 18 10 2 6 31:23 32
5 Kopavogur 18 10 1 7 42:33 31
6 Grotta 17 8 2 7 34:33 26
7 Vestri 18 7 3 8 28:37 24
8 Leiknir Reykjavik 18 6 4 8 24:27 22
9 Grindavik 18 4 8 6 19:25 20
10 IR Reykjavik 18 5 4 9 30:39 19
11 Volsungur 18 4 5 9 25:39 17
12 Aegir 18 2 2 14 21:48 8
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)