Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Koper vs Aluminij

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Bonifika, Koper
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Koper host Aluminij in the Prva liga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Koper have averaged 1.93 scored and 1.3 conceded recently, against Aluminij's 0.86 scored and 1.43 conceded. Head-to-head, Koper have won 4 to Aluminij's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.00) point toward Koper. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Koper
35%
Draws
24%
Aluminij
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Koper

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Koper have won more games recently than Aluminij.
  • Model gives Koper a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Prva liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Koper have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Koper Clean Sheet 20%
Aluminij Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Koper Aluminij
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 5
Draws 5 8
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.93 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Prva liga
Koper vs Aluminij
1:0
Mar 8, 2026 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Koper
2:4
Nov 22, 2025 Prva liga
Koper vs Aluminij
4:1
Aug 29, 2025 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Koper
1:0
Apr 11, 2024 Prva liga
Koper vs Aluminij
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Koper 36 / 100
Aluminij 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Koper Aluminij

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Koper's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Aluminij has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Koper went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Koper VS Aluminij
1.63 Goals Scored 0.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Koper

(Home)
09 Aug
Maribor
2 : 0
Koper
02 Aug
Grosuplje
1 : 1
Koper
30 Jul
Koper
1 : 4
NSI Runavik
26 Jul
Koper
2 : 2
Radomlje
23 Jul
NSI Runavik
0 : 2
Koper
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Aluminij

(Away)
09 Aug
Aluminij
1 : 1
Nafta
02 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0
Aluminij
30 Jul
Dinamo City
3 : 0
Aluminij
23 Jul
Aluminij
1 : 1
Dinamo City
19 Jul
Aluminij
0 : 0
Maribor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 5 2 3 0 7:2 9
2 Celje 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
3 Nafta 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
4 Bravo 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
5 Koper 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
6 Grosuplje 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
7 Radomlje 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
8 Mura 4 1 1 2 6:10 4
9 O. Ljubljana 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
10 Aluminij 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)