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Kopetdag Asgabat vs Altyn Asyr

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kopetdag Asgabat play Altyn Asyr in the Yokary Liga 2025. Altyn Asyr are favorites here. Recently, Kopetdag Asgabat averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Altyn Asyr averaged 2.12 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Kopetdag Asgabat won 1, Altyn Asyr won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 20, 2026 ended 3:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Kopetdag Asgabat and 2.00 for Altyn Asyr. This points to a Altyn Asyr double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Kopetdag Asgabat
15%
Draws
66%
Altyn Asyr
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altyn Asyr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Kopetdag Asgabat picked up more points recently compared to Altyn Asyr.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Kopetdag Asgabat Clean Sheet 10%
Altyn Asyr Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kopetdag Asgabat Altyn Asyr
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 20
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.97 2.12
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Yokary Liga
Altyn Asyr vs Kopetdag Asgabat
3:5
Apr 11, 2026 Yokary Liga
Kopetdag Asgabat vs Altyn Asyr
0:3
Nov 30, 2025 Yokary Liga
Kopetdag Asgabat vs Altyn Asyr
1:5
Sep 13, 2025 Yokary Liga
Altyn Asyr vs Kopetdag Asgabat
5:1
May 31, 2025 Yokary Liga
Kopetdag Asgabat vs Altyn Asyr
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kopetdag Asgabat 19 / 100
Altyn Asyr 61 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kopetdag Asgabat Altyn Asyr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altyn Asyr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Altyn Asyr & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kopetdag Asgabat attacking → ← attacking Altyn Asyr

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kopetdag Asgabat scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Altyn Asyr let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Kopetdag Asgabat went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Altyn Asyr lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 66
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Arkadag282800105:1584
2Ahal28174754:2655
3Altyn Asyr28165754:3553
4Sagadam28127932:3243
5Nebitci28961322:4133
6FC Asgabat28731823:5424
7Kopetdag Asgabat28352021:7214
8Merw28262016:5212