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Kopetdag Asgabat vs Sagadam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kopetdag Asgabat host Sagadam in the Yokary Liga. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Kopetdag Asgabat have averaged 1.03 scored and 2.52 conceded recently, against Sagadam's 0.93 scored and 1.43 conceded. Head-to-head, Kopetdag Asgabat have won 1 to Sagadam's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.44) point toward Sagadam. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Kopetdag Asgabat
30%
Draws
47%
Sagadam
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sagadam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sagadam lately — more wins on the board than Kopetdag Asgabat.
  • Model gives Kopetdag Asgabat a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Yokary Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Kopetdag Asgabat Clean Sheet 16%
Sagadam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kopetdag Asgabat Sagadam
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Kopetdag Asgabat
3:2
May 23, 2026 Yokary Liga
Kopetdag Asgabat vs Sagadam
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Kopetdag Asgabat
2:0
Dec 15, 2025 Yokary Liga
Sagadam vs Kopetdag Asgabat
4:1
Aug 11, 2025 Yokary Liga
Kopetdag Asgabat vs Sagadam
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kopetdag Asgabat 41 / 100
Sagadam 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kopetdag Asgabat Sagadam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sagadam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Kopetdag Asgabat's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Kopetdag Asgabat went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kopetdag Asgabat VS Sagadam
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kopetdag Asgabat

(Home)
03 Oct
Arkadag
5 : 0
Kopetdag Asgabat
20 Sept
Kopetdag Asgabat
0 : 1
Arkadag
12 Sept
Merw
2 : 2
Kopetdag Asgabat
05 Sept
FC Asgabat
1 : 1
Kopetdag Asgabat
30 Aug
Kopetdag Asgabat
2 : 2
Nebitci
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Sagadam

(Away)
11 Oct
Nebitci
3 : 0
Sagadam
19 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Merw
12 Sept
Altyn Asyr
2 : 0
Sagadam
05 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Ahal
30 Aug
Sagadam
0 : 3
Arkadag
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