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Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Korabi Peshkopi host Pogradeci in the Kategoria e Parë. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Korabi Peshkopi at 1.06 goals for, 1.21 against; Pogradeci at 1.97 for, 0.9 against. Head-to-head, Korabi Peshkopi have won 1 to Pogradeci's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.06) point toward Pogradeci. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Korabi Peshkopi
30%
Draws
43%
Pogradeci
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pogradeci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Pogradeci have won more games recently than Korabi Peshkopi.
  • Pogradeci are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pogradeci have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Korabi Peshkopi Clean Sheet 20%
Pogradeci Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korabi Peshkopi Pogradeci
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 12 17
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.06 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Korabi Peshkopi
4:1
Jan 31, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Korabi Peshkopi
3:1
Nov 19, 2025 Albanian Cup
Pogradeci vs Korabi Peshkopi
4:3
Oct 29, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci
1:2
Apr 20, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korabi Peshkopi 10 / 100
Pogradeci 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korabi Peshkopi Pogradeci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pogradeci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Korabi Peshkopi scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Pogradeci's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Korabi Peshkopi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Korabi Peshkopi VS Pogradeci
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Korabi Peshkopi

(Home)
07 Oct
Korabi Peshkopi
2 : 1
Terbuni Puka
26 Sept
Vora
2 : 0
Korabi Peshkopi
20 Sept
Kukesi
3 : 0
Korabi Peshkopi
16 Sept
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 1
Iliria Kruja
12 Sept
Beselidhja Lezha
1 : 2
Korabi Peshkopi
Page 1 of 7

Pogradeci

(Away)
07 Oct
Pogradeci
7 : 0
Delvina
20 Sept
Pogradeci
0 : 0
Flamurtari
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3
Pogradeci
12 Sept
Pogradeci
2 : 1
Kastrioti
05 Sept
Iliria Kruja
0 : 0
Pogradeci
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogradeci 4 2 2 0 5:1 8
2 Besa Kavaje 4 2 1 1 13:5 7
3 Korabi Peshkopi 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
4 Iliria Kruja 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Bylis 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
6 Kukesi 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
7 Kastrioti 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
8 Burreli 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
9 Sopoti Librazhd 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
10 Beselidhja Lezha 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
11 Flamurtari 4 0 3 1 4:5 3
12 KF Oriku 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)