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Korba vs Gafsa Prediction & H2H Stats

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Korba host Gafsa in the Ligue 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Gafsa have shipped 1.22 goals a game lately, while Korba have conceded 0.69 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Korba have won 1 to Gafsa's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.44 - 1.38) back Korba to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Korba
20%
Draws
40%
Gafsa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Gafsa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Korba's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Korba Clean Sheet 17%
Gafsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korba Gafsa
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Ligue 2
Gafsa vs Korba
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Ligue 2
Korba vs Gafsa
0:1
Apr 10, 2022 Ligue 2
Gafsa vs Korba
1:0
Mar 5, 2022 Ligue 2
Korba vs Gafsa
1:0
Dec 5, 2021 Ligue 2
Gafsa vs Korba
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korba 36 / 100
Gafsa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korba Gafsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Korba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Korba's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Gafsa has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Korba VS Gafsa
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Korba

(Home)
27 Sept
Bouchamma
1 : 0
Korba
12 May
Bouchamma
1 : 1
Korba
02 May
Korba
1 : 0
Djelma
28 Apr
Sidi Bouzid
1 : 5
Korba
22 Apr
PS Sakiet Eddaier
4 : 0
Korba
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Gafsa

(Away)
27 Sept
Gafsa
1 : 2
Kasserine
12 May
Gafsa
5 : 2
Sidi Bouzid
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1
Gafsa
28 Apr
Gafsa
1 : 0
Jendouba Sport
19 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2
Gafsa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Soliman 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Msaken 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Sfax Railways 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 EM Mahdia 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 BS Bouhajla 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Megrine 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 AS Agareb 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
8 Stade Soussien 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
9 AS Gabes 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
10 ES Beni-Khalled 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 Sporting Ben Arous 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Kerkennah 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Chebba 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 US Tataouine 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redeyef 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Kasserine 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Kalaa 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 JS Kairouan 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Bouchamma 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Stade Gabesien 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Ariana 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Olympique Kef 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Ksour Essef 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Gafsa 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 CO Medenine 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Jendouba Sport 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Korba 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
14 Moknine 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)