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Korba vs Oued Ellil

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Zahraoui M.
83' Event
Mersni M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2024/2025 game between Korba and Oued Ellil finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Korba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Korba
30%
Draws
31%
Oued Ellil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Korba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Oued Ellil haven't matched Korba's recent run of results.
  • Korba are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Korba Clean Sheet 20%
Oued Ellil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korba Oued Ellil
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 Ligue 2
Korba vs Oued Ellil
2:0
Dec 7, 2024 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Korba
0:0
Mar 3, 2024 Ligue 2
Korba vs Oued Ellil
1:0
Oct 28, 2023 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Korba
1:2
May 26, 2023 Ligue 2
Korba vs Oued Ellil
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Korba Compare

Top Goalscorer Zahraoui M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mersni M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Oued Ellil Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korba 42 / 100
Oued Ellil 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korba Oued Ellil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oued Ellil has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Korba has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Korba found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Korba VS Oued Ellil
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Korba

(Home)
12 May
Bouchamma
1 : 1
Korba
02 May
Korba
1 : 0
Djelma
28 Apr
Sidi Bouzid
1 : 5
Korba
22 Apr
PS Sakiet Eddaier
4 : 0
Korba
11 Apr
Korba
1 : 0
Ariana
Page 1 of 7

Oued Ellil

(Away)
08 Feb
Sahline
2 : 1
Oued Ellil
24 May
Kalaa
2 : 2
Oued Ellil
17 May
Oued Ellil
2 : 1
EM Mahdia
10 May
Ariana
0 : 1
Oued Ellil
05 May
Oued Ellil
1 : 1
Hammam-Lif
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Marsa 26 15 8 3 40:17 53
2 Megrine 26 15 7 4 49:23 52
3 Jendouba Sport 26 14 7 5 38:19 49
4 Hamam-Sousse 26 8 12 6 36:28 36
5 Korba 26 9 9 8 22:28 36
6 Hammam-Lif 26 8 10 8 25:26 34
7 Msaken 26 7 12 7 18:17 33
8 Ariana 26 10 3 13 33:33 33
9 Kalaa 26 8 7 11 30:34 31
10 EM Mahdia 26 9 4 13 26:37 31
11 Moknine 26 7 9 10 27:30 30
12 Menzel Bourguiba 26 7 9 10 18:27 30
13 Oued Ellil 26 6 9 11 23:32 27
14 Rades 26 2 8 16 16:50 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JS Kairouan 26 15 9 2 30:11 54
2 Kasserine 26 16 5 5 36:17 53
3 Kerkennah 26 12 8 6 36:21 44
4 Sfax Railways 26 12 8 6 35:22 44
5 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 13 5 8 32:23 44
6 BS Bouhajla 26 9 6 11 21:22 33
7 Redeyef 26 10 3 13 23:25 33
8 Djelma 26 9 5 12 26:26 32
9 Sidi Bouzid 26 8 8 10 27:28 32
10 Chebba 26 9 5 12 24:29 32
11 Stade Gabesien 26 8 6 12 13:23 30
12 AS Agareb 26 7 9 10 23:35 30
13 ES Jerba 26 6 8 12 15:24 26
14 Espoir Rogba 26 3 5 18 19:54 13
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)