Sport Picks

Iceland

Division 1 2023

Vestri

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kordrengir play Vestri in the Division 1 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kordrengir averaged 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Vestri averaged 1.32 goals scored and 2.32 conceded. In past meetings, Kordrengir won 2, Vestri won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Sep 2, 2023 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Kordrengir and 1.18 for Vestri. This points to a Kordrengir double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Kordrengir

31%

Draws

24%

Vestri

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Kordrengir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Kordrengir picked up more points recently compared to Vestri.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.18 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Kordrengir Clean Sheet 20%

Vestri Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kordrengir	Vestri
Matches Played	5	28
Wins	3	8
Draws	0	6
Losses	2	14
Goals Scored	2	1.32
Goals Conceded	1.4	2.32

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2023 Division 1

Kordrengir vs Vestri

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 4 - 3

0:0

Jul 1, 2023 Division 1

Vestri vs Kordrengir

Possession: 50% - 46% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Aug 18, 2022 Division 1

Kordrengir vs Vestri

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 3 - 4

4:0

Jun 11, 2022 Division 1

Vestri vs Kordrengir

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Mar 5, 2022 League Cup

Kordrengir vs Vestri

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 0 - 1

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kordrengir 45 / 100

Vestri 24 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kordrengir Vestri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kordrengir or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kordrengir attacking → ← attacking Vestri

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kordrengir scored in 60% of their last 5 games.

Vestri let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Kordrengir went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vestri lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 30

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Akranes	22	15	4	3	54:31	49
2	Afturelding	22	13	4	5	60:33	43
3	Fjolnir	22	12	6	4	55:32	42
4	Vestri	22	11	6	5	37:26	39
5	Leiknir Reykjavik	22	11	2	9	47:37	35
6	Grindavik	22	8	4	10	27:38	28
7	Thor Akureyri	22	8	3	11	27:39	27
8	Throttur	22	7	5	10	45:46	26
9	Grotta	22	6	8	8	34:37	26
10	Njardvik	22	6	5	11	36:47	23
11	Selfoss	22	7	2	13	37:49	23
12	Aegir	22	2	3	17	23:67	9