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Korfez SK vs Ergene Velimese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Dilek I. F.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Isik B.
50' Event
Sensen S.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 game between Korfez SK and Ergene Velimese finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Korfez SK
15%
Draws
85%
Ergene Velimese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ergene Velimese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ergene Velimese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ergene Velimese's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Korfez SK Clean Sheet 26%
Ergene Velimese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korfez SK Ergene Velimese
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 1 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 24 18
Goals Scored 0.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2019 3. Lig Group 1
Korfez SK vs Ergene Velimese
2:2
Oct 17, 2018 3. Lig Group 1
Ergene Velimese vs Korfez SK
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Korfez SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Sensen S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Erdogan F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Ergene Velimese Compare

Top Goalscorer Isik B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korfez SK 10 / 100
Ergene Velimese 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korfez SK Ergene Velimese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ergene Velimese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ergene Velimese conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Korfez SK scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Ergene Velimese registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ergene Velimese
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Korfez SK

(Home)
04 May
Korfez SK
1 : 4
Nazillispor
21 Apr
Iskenderunspor
7 : 1
Korfez SK
14 Apr
Korfez SK
0 : 3
Tepecik
07 Apr
Yomraspor
3 : 0
Korfez SK
03 Apr
Korfez SK
0 : 2
Batman Petrolspor
Page 1 of 6

Ergene Velimese

(Away)
26 Apr
Ergene Velimese
2 : 1
Kahramanmarasspor
20 Apr
Eskisehir Anadolu
2 : 0
Ergene Velimese
13 Apr
Ergene Velimese
1 : 4
Musspor
06 Apr
Ergene Velimese
1 : 0
Kusadasispor
02 Apr
Ergene Velimese
2 : 1
23 Elazig FK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trabzon FK 32 18 12 2 47:17 66
2 Nazillispor 32 17 14 1 57:27 65
3 Bucaspor 1928 32 16 11 5 48:27 59
4 Nevsehir 32 16 9 7 50:30 57
5 Ergene Velimese 32 13 11 8 43:33 50
6 Karakopru 32 12 8 12 44:45 44
7 Hopaspor 32 10 12 10 33:33 42
8 Erbaaspor 32 9 13 10 35:35 40
9 Yomraspor 32 10 9 13 39:46 39
10 Silivrispor 32 10 9 13 30:29 39
11 Batman Petrolspor 32 10 8 14 36:44 38
12 Sile Yildizspor 32 11 5 16 45:47 38
13 Iskenderunspor 32 7 16 9 47:43 37
14 Kozanspor 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
15 Tepecik 32 10 7 15 36:46 37
16 Gebzespor 32 7 13 12 30:38 34
17 Korfez SK 32 1 5 26 16:88 8
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2018/2019 (Play Offs)