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Kormakur/Hvot vs Selfoss - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ferriol M.
29' Event
Kjartansson V.
45' Event
Belmonte P.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Kormakur/Hvot and Selfoss finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Selfoss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Kormakur/Hvot
15%
Draws
71%
Selfoss
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Selfoss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Selfoss come out ahead of Kormakur/Hvot on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Selfoss's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Selfoss have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Kormakur/Hvot Clean Sheet 10%
Selfoss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kormakur/Hvot Selfoss
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.82 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.44 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Division 2
Kormakur/Hvot vs Selfoss
2:5
May 16, 2026 Division 2
Selfoss vs Kormakur/Hvot
2:1
Jul 13, 2024 Division 2
Kormakur/Hvot vs Selfoss
0:2
May 4, 2024 Division 2
Selfoss vs Kormakur/Hvot
1:0
Apr 28, 2017 Icelandic Cup
Selfoss vs Kormakur/Hvot
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kormakur/Hvot Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferriol M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Belmonte P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Selfoss Compare

Top Goalscorer Kjartansson V.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Birgisson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kormakur/Hvot 10 / 100
Selfoss 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kormakur/Hvot Selfoss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Selfoss Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kormakur/Hvot scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Selfoss let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Solid form: Kormakur/Hvot remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kormakur/Hvot VS Selfoss
1.5 Goals Scored 3.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kormakur/Hvot

(Home)
15 Sept
Kormakur/Hvot
1 : 2
Haukar
12 Sept
Kormakur/Hvot
1 : 2
Fjolnir
05 Sept
Hviti
3 : 4
Kormakur/Hvot
29 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 3
KFA
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0
Kormakur/Hvot
Page 1 of 7

Selfoss

(Away)
18 Sept
Selfoss
3 : 1
Haukar
15 Sept
Selfoss
5 : 0
Alftanes
12 Sept
Selfoss
2 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
05 Sept
Haukar
1 : 2
Selfoss
29 Aug
Selfoss
6 : 0
Magni
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 22 15 2 5 55:32 47
2 Selfoss 22 13 6 3 55:36 45
3 Kari 22 11 9 2 56:29 42
4 Dalvik/Reynir 22 9 4 9 37:37 31
5 Olafsvik 22 9 4 9 33:41 31
6 Fjolnir 22 8 6 8 49:46 30
7 KFA 22 9 2 11 51:45 29
8 Kormakur/Hvot 22 7 6 9 42:38 27
9 Magni 22 7 4 11 35:54 25
10 Throttur Vogar 22 7 2 13 33:42 23
11 KFG Gardabaer 22 7 1 14 38:58 22
12 Hviti 22 3 8 11 28:54 17
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