Sport Picks

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Korofina vs US Bougouni

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Korofina Logo

Korofina

2 - 1
FT
US Bougouni Logo

US Bougouni

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Korofina in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Korofina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Korofina
15%
Draws
26%
US Bougouni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Korofina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Korofina have won more games recently than US Bougouni.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Korofina taking it.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Korofina Clean Sheet 68%
US Bougouni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korofina US Bougouni
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.03 0.43
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Premiere Division
Korofina vs US Bougouni
2:1
Dec 13, 2025 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Korofina
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 Premiere Division
Korofina vs US Bougouni
2:0
Dec 14, 2024 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Korofina
0:0
May 4, 2024 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Korofina
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korofina 86 / 100
US Bougouni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korofina US Bougouni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Korofina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korofina's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: US Bougouni conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Korofina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Korofina VS US Bougouni
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Korofina

(Home)
14 Jun
Korofina
1 : 3
Djoliba
10 Jun
Foot Elite
5 : 3
Korofina
04 Jun
Korofina
2 : 0
Derby Academie
31 May
Korofina
1 : 0
Real Bamako
25 May
Diarra
0 : 0
Korofina
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US Bougouni

(Away)
14 Jun
Bakaridjan
4 : 1
US Bougouni
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
Mali Coura
2 : 0
US Bougouni
31 May
Derby Academie
2 : 1
US Bougouni
24 May
US Bougouni
0 : 1
Onze Createurs
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)