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Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Exbud Arena
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Korona Kielce host Gornik Zabrze in the Ekstraklasa. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Korona Kielce at 0.75 goals for, 0.63 against; Gornik Zabrze at 1.63 for, 0.88 against. Head-to-head, Korona Kielce have won 0 to Gornik Zabrze's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.13, favoring Gornik Zabrze. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Korona Kielce
28%
Draws
22%
Gornik Zabrze
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Korona Kielce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gornik Zabrze come out ahead of Korona Kielce on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Korona Kielce taking it.
  • Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 20%
Gornik Zabrze Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korona Kielce Gornik Zabrze
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze vs Korona Kielce
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze
1:1
May 24, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze vs Korona Kielce
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze
2:4
Feb 19, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze vs Korona Kielce
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korona Kielce 49 / 100
Gornik Zabrze 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korona Kielce Gornik Zabrze

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korona Kielce scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Korona Kielce remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Gornik Zabrze conceded in 54% of 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Korona Kielce VS Gornik Zabrze
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jagiellonia00000:00
2Gornik Zabrze00000:00
3Korona Kielce00000:00
4Piast Gliwice00000:00
5GKS Katowice00000:00
6Motor Lublin00000:00
7Slask Wroclaw00000:00
8Wisla Plock00000:00
9Pogon Szczecin00000:00
10Wisla00000:00
11Legia00000:00
12Lech Poznan00000:00
13Zaglebie00000:00
14Cracovia00000:00
15Widzew Lodz00000:00
16Radomiak Radom00000:00
17Rakow Czestochowa00000:00
18KS Wieczysta Krakow00000:00