Sport Picks
Korona Kielce II vs Czarni Polaniec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
Match Events
42'
42'
Bociek K.
55'
55'
Hancko A.
72'
72'
Banik M.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV game between Korona Kielce II and Czarni Polaniec finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Czarni Polaniec.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Korona Kielce II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Czarni Polaniec come out ahead of Korona Kielce II on wins alone.
- Model gives Korona Kielce II a 39% chance of winning this.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 10%
Czarni Polaniec Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Korona Kielce II | Czarni Polaniec |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Czarni Polaniec
3:4
May 22, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Czarni Polaniec
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Korona Kielce II
4:0
Mar 22, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Czarni Polaniec
3:0
Aug 24, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Korona Kielce II
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Korona Kielce II Compare
Top Goalscorer Hancko A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rogala P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Czarni Polaniec Compare
Top Goalscorer Bociek K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Banik M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Korona Kielce II 83 / 100
Czarni Polaniec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Korona Kielce II Czarni Polaniec
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Korona Kielce II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Korona Kielce II found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Czarni Polaniec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.
Korona Kielce II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Korona Kielce II VS Czarni Polaniec
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Korona Kielce II
(Home) 10 Oct
Korona Kielce II
4 : 0 Biala Podlaska
03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2 Korona Kielce II
26 Sept
Korona Kielce II
1 : 0 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
19 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0 Korona Kielce II
12 Sept
Korona Kielce II
2 : 2 Kolbuszowa Dolna
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Korona Kielce II
4 : 0 Biala Podlaska
26 Sept
Korona Kielce II
1 : 0 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
12 Sept
Korona Kielce II
2 : 2 Kolbuszowa Dolna
01 Sept
Korona Kielce II
0 : 1 Radomiak Radom
29 Aug
Korona Kielce II
4 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
Page 1 of 4
Czarni Polaniec
(Away) 03 Oct
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
25 Sept
Wisla II
1 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
19 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 5 Naprzod Jedrzejow
13 Sept
Moravia Morawica
1 : 2 Czarni Polaniec
05 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
3 : 0 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Wisla II
1 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
13 Sept
Moravia Morawica
1 : 2 Czarni Polaniec
28 Aug
Wislanie Skawina
0 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
22 Aug
Korona Kielce II
3 : 4 Czarni Polaniec
19 Aug
Star Starachowice
2 : 0 Czarni Polaniec
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 18:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Wisloka Debica | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 4 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 5 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 17 |
| 8 | Wisla II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 10 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Busko-Zdroj | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 13 | Biala Podlaska | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 23:27 | 11 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 16 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
