Sport Picks
Korona Kielce II vs Czarni Polaniec
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
40'
40'
Nojszewski J.
43'
43'
Kuzera N.
43'
43'
Kuzera N.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Korona Kielce II and Czarni Polaniec finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Korona Kielce II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Korona Kielce II carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 10%
Czarni Polaniec Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Korona Kielce II | Czarni Polaniec |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.38 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 22, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Czarni Polaniec
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Korona Kielce II
4:0
Mar 22, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Czarni Polaniec
3:0
Aug 24, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Czarni Polaniec vs Korona Kielce II
0:0
Jun 17, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Czarni Polaniec
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Korona Kielce II Compare
Top Goalscorer Nojszewski J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Czarni Polaniec Compare
Top Goalscorer Platek G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Korona Kielce II 30 / 100
Czarni Polaniec 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Korona Kielce II Czarni Polaniec
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Korona Kielce II scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Czarni Polaniec has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Korona Kielce II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Korona Kielce II VS Czarni Polaniec
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Korona Kielce II
(Home) 11 Jul
R. Rzeszow
5 : 0 Korona Kielce II
30 May
Korona Kielce II
4 : 1 Wislanie Skawina
22 May
Korona Kielce II
2 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
16 May
Avia Swidnik
5 : 1 Korona Kielce II
13 May
Korona Kielce II
1 : 0 Wisloka Debica
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Korona Kielce II
4 : 1 Wislanie Skawina
22 May
Korona Kielce II
2 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
13 May
Korona Kielce II
1 : 0 Wisloka Debica
09 May
Korona Kielce II
3 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
17 Apr
Korona Kielce II
3 : 2 Naprzod Jedrzejow
Page 1 of 3
Czarni Polaniec
(Away) 15 Jul
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 4 Jaroslaw
11 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
04 Jul
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 0 Star Starachowice
30 May
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 3 Avia Swidnik
22 May
Korona Kielce II
2 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
22 May
Korona Kielce II
2 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
13 May
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
01 May
Swidniczanka Swidnik
1 : 4 Czarni Polaniec
18 Apr
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)