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Korona Kielce II vs Hetman Zamosc - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Nojszewski J.
15' Event
Karlinski B.
51'
Chmielewski I.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV game between Korona Kielce II and Hetman Zamosc finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Korona Kielce II
30%
Draws
31%
Hetman Zamosc
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Korona Kielce II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Korona Kielce II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Korona Kielce II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 10%
Hetman Zamosc Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korona Kielce II Hetman Zamosc
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Hetman Zamosc
2:2
May 19, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Hetman Zamosc vs Korona Kielce II
1:0
Oct 17, 2020 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Hetman Zamosc
1:1
May 10, 2020 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Hetman Zamosc
0:0
Oct 6, 2019 III Liga - Group IV
Hetman Zamosc vs Korona Kielce II
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Korona Kielce II Compare

Top Goalscorer Nojszewski J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karlinski B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Hetman Zamosc Compare

Top Goalscorer Szymala J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Serdyuk R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korona Kielce II 74 / 100
Hetman Zamosc 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korona Kielce II Hetman Zamosc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Korona Kielce II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korona Kielce II's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Hetman Zamosc conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Korona Kielce II remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Korona Kielce II VS Hetman Zamosc
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Korona Kielce II

(Home)
10 Oct
Korona Kielce II
4 : 0
Biala Podlaska
03 Oct
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2
Korona Kielce II
26 Sept
Korona Kielce II
1 : 0
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
19 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0
Korona Kielce II
12 Sept
Korona Kielce II
2 : 2
Kolbuszowa Dolna
Page 1 of 6

Hetman Zamosc

(Away)
04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2
Chelmianka Chelm
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
3 : 3
Wisla II
12 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
05 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 1
Moravia Morawica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 12 9 3 0 20:6 30
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 12 6 5 1 21:9 23
3 Wisloka Debica 12 7 2 3 16:13 23
4 Wislanie Skawina 12 6 2 4 19:12 20
5 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
6 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
7 Jaroslaw 12 5 2 5 28:22 17
8 Wisla II 12 4 4 4 15:17 16
9 Korona Kielce II 12 4 2 6 27:27 14
10 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
11 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
12 Busko-Zdroj 12 4 2 6 17:26 14
13 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
14 Biala Podlaska 12 3 3 6 10:17 12
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 12 3 3 6 11:15 12
16 Star Starachowice 12 2 5 5 14:19 11
17 Moravia Morawica 12 2 3 7 13:22 9
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 12 2 2 8 12:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)