Sport Picks

Poland

Polish Cup 2025/2026

Piast Gliwice

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Korona Kielce II play Piast Gliwice in the Polish Cup 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Korona Kielce II averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. Piast Gliwice averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Korona Kielce II won 0, Piast Gliwice won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 24, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Korona Kielce II and 1.75 for Piast Gliwice. This points to a Korona Kielce II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Korona Kielce II

15%

Draws

41%

Piast Gliwice

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Korona Kielce II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Korona Kielce II picked up more points recently compared to Piast Gliwice.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 12%

Piast Gliwice Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Korona Kielce II	Piast Gliwice
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	17	12
Draws	4	5
Losses	10	12
Goals Scored	1.94	1.14
Goals Conceded	1.74	1.34
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2025 Polish Cup

Korona Kielce II vs Piast Gliwice

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Korona Kielce II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Piast Gliwice Compare

Top Goalscorer Lokilo J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korona Kielce II 42 / 100

Piast Gliwice 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Korona Kielce II Piast Gliwice

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Korona Kielce II or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Korona Kielce II attacking → ← attacking Piast Gliwice

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korona Kielce II scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Piast Gliwice let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Korona Kielce II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Piast Gliwice lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 41

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25