Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 Exbud Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Pieczek M.
Assist: Blanik D.
24' Event
Davidovic S.
Assist: Blanik D.
44' Event
Stepinski M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Korona Kielce in this Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Korona Kielce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Korona Kielce
6%
Draws
4%
Arka Gdynia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Korona Kielce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Korona Kielce average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of Arka Gdynia's 0.75.
  • Korona Kielce are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 20%
Arka Gdynia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Korona Kielce Arka Gdynia
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia
3:0
Sep 20, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Arka Gdynia vs Korona Kielce
0:0
Apr 23, 2022 Division 1
Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia
1:2
Oct 8, 2021 Division 1
Arka Gdynia vs Korona Kielce
0:0
May 29, 2021 Division 1
Korona Kielce vs Arka Gdynia
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Korona Kielce Compare

Top Goalscorer Pieczek M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davidovic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Arka Gdynia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Korona Kielce 85 / 100
Arka Gdynia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Korona Kielce Arka Gdynia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korona Kielce found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Arka Gdynia let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Korona Kielce has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Korona Kielce VS Arka Gdynia
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan341612662:4560
2Gornik Zabrze341681050:3856
3Jagiellonia341511856:4156
4Rakow Czestochowa341671151:4055
5GKS Katowice341481251:4550
6Legia341213942:3749
7Zaglebie341391245:3848
8Wisla Plock3412101234:3846
9Pogon Szczecin341361547:4945
10Radomiak Radom3411111252:5344
11Korona Kielce3411101340:4043
12Motor Lublin3410131146:5343
13Cracovia349151039:4242
14Widzew Lodz341261641:4142
15Piast Gliwice341181542:4641
16Lechia Gdansk341271562:6538
17Arka Gdynia34991634:6136
18Termalica Bruk-Bet34971843:6534