Sport Picks
Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Ekstraklasa Exbud Arena, Kielce 
Match Events
41'
41'
Peter Federico
Assist: Kubicki J.
53'
53'
Prekop E.
62'
62'
Sub
Remacle M. In: Mena C.
Out: Remacle M.
AI Match Summary
The Ekstraklasa game between Korona Kielce and Gornik Zabrze finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gornik Zabrze.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gornik Zabrze
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gornik Zabrze come out ahead of Korona Kielce on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 16%
Gornik Zabrze Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Korona Kielce | Gornik Zabrze |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 34 |
| Wins | 10 | 17 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze
0:2
Apr 18, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze vs Korona Kielce
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze
1:1
May 24, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze vs Korona Kielce
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Korona Kielce Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Gornik Zabrze Compare
Top Goalscorer Peter Federico
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Korona Kielce 31 / 100
Gornik Zabrze 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Korona Kielce Gornik Zabrze
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Korona Kielce scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Gornik Zabrze conceded in 65% of 34 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Korona Kielce remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Korona Kielce VS Gornik Zabrze
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Korona Kielce
(Home) 03 Oct
Legia
5 : 1 Korona Kielce
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2 Gornik Zabrze
12 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 2 Korona Kielce
05 Sept
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 Wisla
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2 Gornik Zabrze
05 Sept
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 Wisla
22 Aug
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 Motor Lublin
08 Aug
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 Legia
Page 1 of 4
Gornik Zabrze
(Away) 10 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Gornik Zabrze
02 Oct
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 2 Odra Opole
19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0 Gornik Zabrze
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2 Gornik Zabrze
12 Sept
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1 Lech Poznan
Page 1 of 7
10 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Gornik Zabrze
19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0 Gornik Zabrze
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2 Gornik Zabrze
06 Sept
Cracovia
0 : 1 Gornik Zabrze
03 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
1 : 2 Gornik Zabrze
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19:9 | 25 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Legia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 7 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Zaglebie | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 13 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 14 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | 8 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | 6 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
