Sport Picks
Korona Kielce vs Legia Prediction & H2H Stats
Poland
Ekstraklasa Exbud Arena, Kielce 
Match Events
28'
28'
Zjawinski L.
Assist: Piatkowski K.
51'
51'
Adamski R.
60'
60'
Jakubczyk K.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Korona Kielce haven't matched Legia's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 68%
Legia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Korona Kielce | Legia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 18 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Legia
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Legia vs Korona Kielce
1:2
Jul 27, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Legia
0:2
Feb 2, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Legia vs Korona Kielce
1:1
Jul 28, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Legia
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Korona Kielce Compare
Top Goalscorer Stepinski M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Legia Compare
Top Goalscorer Zjawinski L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Korona Kielce 41 / 100
Legia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Korona Kielce Legia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Korona Kielce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Korona Kielce's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Legia let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Korona Kielce went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Korona Kielce VS Legia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Korona Kielce
(Home) 19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2 Gornik Zabrze
12 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 2 Korona Kielce
05 Sept
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 Wisla
02 Sept
Widzew Lodz
0 : 1 Korona Kielce
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2 Gornik Zabrze
05 Sept
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 Wisla
22 Aug
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 Motor Lublin
08 Aug
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 Legia
Page 1 of 4
Legia
(Away) 26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4 Legia
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Legia
13 Sept
Legia
1 : 1 Widzew Lodz
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3 Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0 Legia
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4 Legia
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3 Legia
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3 Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0 Legia
22 Aug
Piast Gliwice
1 : 1 Legia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 22 |
| 2 | Legia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 6 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 13 |
| 9 | GKS Katowice | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Wisla Plock | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Widzew Lodz | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | 8 |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 17 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 5 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12:21 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
