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Kortrijk vs Dender

World World

Club Friendly
Fri, Jan 9, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kortrijk host Dender in the Club Friendly. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Kortrijk at 1.68 goals for, 1.39 against; Dender at 0.89 for, 1.67 against. Past meetings favor Dender slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 9, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.31) point toward Kortrijk. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Kortrijk
15%
Draws
78%
Dender
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dender

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Kortrijk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Dender taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Kortrijk Clean Sheet 18%
Dender Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kortrijk Dender
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.68 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Kortrijk vs Dender
0:0
Dec 14, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Kortrijk vs Dender
0:3
Aug 10, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs Kortrijk
4:1
Nov 1, 2023 Belgian Cup
Dender vs Kortrijk
1:2
Apr 11, 2009 Jupiler Pro League
Kortrijk vs Dender
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kortrijk 10 / 100
Dender 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kortrijk Dender

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dender Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kortrijk scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Dender let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Kortrijk stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kortrijk VS Dender
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kortrijk

(Home)
06 Sept
Kortrijk
0 : 2
Waregem
03 Sept
Anderlecht
1 : 0
Kortrijk
29 Aug
Kortrijk
1 : 3
Charleroi
15 Aug
Kortrijk
0 : 3
Antwerp
08 Aug
Kortrijk
1 : 1
Club Brugge U23
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Dender

(Away)
11 Sept
Gent U23
0 : 1
Dender
04 Sept
Dender
2 : 0
RFC Seraing
29 Aug
RFC Liege
1 : 2
Dender
22 Aug
Dender
2 : 0
Beerschot VA
14 Aug
Hasselt
1 : 0
Dender
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