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Kortrijk vs OC Charleroi

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 Guldensporen Stadion, Kortrijk
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Cachbach M.
39'
Adinany B.
46'
Sub
Omosanya M. In: Dailly N.
Out: Omosanya M.

AI Match Summary

Kortrijk in this Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kortrijk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Kortrijk
20%
Draws
70%
OC Charleroi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: OC Charleroi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kortrijk lately — more wins on the board than OC Charleroi.
  • Win probability leans OC Charleroi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Kortrijk have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Kortrijk Clean Sheet 20%
OC Charleroi Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kortrijk OC Charleroi
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 14 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.87 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.70 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Kortrijk vs OC Charleroi
3:1
Aug 23, 2025 Challenger Pro League
OC Charleroi vs Kortrijk
0:3
Mar 29, 2008 Challenger Pro League
Kortrijk vs OC Charleroi
3:2
Nov 18, 2007 Challenger Pro League
OC Charleroi vs Kortrijk
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kortrijk Compare

Top Goalscorer Hurtevent I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lambert B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.54
Avg xA / game 0.35

OC Charleroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrara L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kortrijk 10 / 100
OC Charleroi 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kortrijk OC Charleroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OC Charleroi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: OC Charleroi conceded in 88% of 25 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Kortrijk found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Kortrijk stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kortrijk VS OC Charleroi
1.25 Goals Scored 0.57
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.14
75% Over 1.5 29%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kortrijk

(Home)
29 Aug
Kortrijk
1 : 3
Charleroi
15 Aug
Kortrijk
0 : 3
Antwerp
08 Aug
Kortrijk
1 : 1
Club Brugge U23
07 Aug
Club Brugge
3 : 0
Kortrijk
01 Aug
Kortrijk
1 : 2
Reims
Page 1 of 6

OC Charleroi

(Away)
30 Aug
Onhaye
0 : 2
OC Charleroi
01 Aug
Tienen
1 : 1
OC Charleroi
28 Jun
Onhaye
1 : 5
OC Charleroi
17 Apr
Anderlecht U23
5 : 0
OC Charleroi
11 Apr
OC Charleroi
0 : 1
Lierse SK
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SK Beveren 32 28 4 0 74:23 88
2 Kortrijk 32 21 4 7 59:33 67
3 Beerschot VA 32 19 7 6 52:31 64
4 RFC Liege 32 16 5 11 44:39 53
5 Lommel SK 32 15 8 9 59:46 53
6 Patro Eisden 32 14 9 9 44:40 51
7 Eupen 32 12 11 9 44:36 47
8 Sporting Lokeren 32 10 12 10 48:45 42
9 Gent U23 32 12 5 15 42:51 41
10 Lierse SK 32 10 8 14 35:42 38
11 RFC Seraing 32 8 11 13 37:44 35
12 Francs Borains 32 9 8 15 33:47 34
13 RWDM Brussels 32 9 9 14 50:54 33
14 Anderlecht U23 32 7 10 15 46:55 31
15 Genk U23 32 7 10 15 42:59 31
16 Club Brugge U23 32 5 6 21 33:55 21
17 OC Charleroi 32 3 7 22 26:68 16
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