Sport Picks
Kose vs Tartu JK Welco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Estonian Cup 
Match Events
15'
15'
Roots R.
18'
18'
Roots R.
19'
19'
Roots R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-8. This leg finished 0-8.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tartu JK Welco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tartu JK Welco lately — more wins on the board than Kose.
- Tartu JK Welco are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Tartu JK Welco arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Tartu JK Welco, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Kose Clean Sheet 10%
Tartu JK Welco Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kose | Tartu JK Welco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 17 |
| Draws | 0 | 5 |
| Losses | 19 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 2.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.36 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2026 Estonian Cup
Kose vs Tartu JK Welco
0:8
Jul 23, 2014 Estonian Cup
Tartu JK Welco vs Kose
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kose Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Tartu JK Welco Compare
Top Goalscorer Roots R.
3 Goals Assists Leader Mutso K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kose 10 / 100
Tartu JK Welco 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kose Tartu JK Welco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tartu JK Welco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.
Tartu JK Welco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Kose found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (27 games).
Kose went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kose VS Tartu JK Welco
2.5 Goals Scored 4
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Kose
(Home) 12 Aug
Kose
0 : 8 Tartu JK Welco
25 Jul
EstHam United
1 : 5 Kose
16 Jun
Kose
8 : 0 Kummik
25 Jul
Kose
0 : 7 Kuressaare
30 Jul
Kose
1 : 6 Tartu Kalev
Page 1 of 6
12 Aug
Kose
0 : 8 Tartu JK Welco
16 Jun
Kose
8 : 0 Kummik
25 Jul
Kose
0 : 7 Kuressaare
30 Jul
Kose
1 : 6 Tartu Kalev
14 Jul
Kose
0 : 2 Maksatransport
Page 1 of 3
Tartu JK Welco
(Away) 17 Sept
Viimsi JK
0 : 2 Tartu JK Welco
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0 Kalju U21
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0 Tartu JK Welco
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1 Tartu JK Welco
29 Aug
Tartu JK Welco
1 : 3 Viimsi JK
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Viimsi JK
0 : 2 Tartu JK Welco
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0 Tartu JK Welco
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1 Tartu JK Welco
23 Aug
Kalju U21
2 : 4 Tartu JK Welco
12 Aug
Kose
0 : 8 Tartu JK Welco
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Flora -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Arsenal 0
Tallinna Kalev U21 3
Rakvere FC Freedom 3
Kena JK 2
EstHam United -
TBD -
Kose 8
Kummik 0
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani 0
Elva 4
Arukula Vigri -
TBD -
TBD -
Raasiku Joker -
Tammeka Tartu U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Tartu Kalev 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 3
TBD -
Kuusalu Kalev -
Narva 10
Vana Hea Puur 0
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Marjamaa Kompanii -
TBD -
TBD -
Generation Tallinn -
JK Poseidon -
TBD -
Helm 30
Deliirium 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju -
Hiiumaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Tulevik -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Raplamaa -
Johvi Phoenix 4
Elva III 2
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt -
Lahte United 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 3
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Kristiine -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco 2 -
TransferWise -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympic Tallinn -
Saku Sporting -
TBD -
TBD -
Legion -
Kohvile -
TBD -
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Zealot Sporting -
Tartu Helios -
TBD -
TBD -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Nomme Utd U19 -
FC Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
Saue JK Laagri 6
Viimsi Lovid 0
TBD -
Harju JK Laagri U21 -
Harju JK Laagri -
TBD -
TBD -
Rae Spordikool -
Tallinna Wolves 0
Tabasalu 10
TBD -
Tamper -
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TalTech JK -
TBD -
TBD -
Keila JK -
Flora U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna -
1/32-finals
Flora -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 4
Rakvere FC Freedom 2
EstHam United 1
Kose 5
Rumori Calcio II 0
Tartu JK Welco 12
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Elva 6
Arukula Vigri 0
Raasiku Joker 1
Tammeka Tartu U19 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tartu Kalev 7
Kuusalu Kalev 0
Narva 1
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Marjamaa Kompanii 8
Generation Tallinn 4
JK Poseidon 3
Helm 2
TBD -
Kalju -
Hiiumaa 4
Tulevik 1
Nomme Utd 12
Raplamaa 0
Johvi Phoenix 8
FC Hell Hunt 1
Tabasalu Ulasabat 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 4
Kristiine 8
Jogeva Wolves 3
Kuressaare 5
Tartu JK Welco 2 1
TransferWise 3
Olympic Tallinn 6
Saku Sporting 2
Legion 1
Kohvile 1
Rumori Calcio 4
Tammeka Tartu 19
Zealot Sporting 0
Tartu Helios -
Soccernet -
Viimsi JK 4
Nomme Utd U19 0
FC Tallinn 4
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Saue JK Laagri 1
Harju JK Laagri U21 2
Harju JK Laagri 8
Rae Spordikool 0
Tabasalu 0
Tamper 2
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond -
TalTech JK 0
Keila JK 6
Flora U19 6
Pohja-Tallinna 3
1/16-finals
Flora -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Kose 0
Tartu JK Welco 8
Elva -
Raasiku Joker -
Tallinna Kalev 8
Tartu Kalev 0
Narva 8
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
JK Poseidon 0
Kalju 12
Hiiumaa 0
Nomme Utd 2
Johvi Phoenix 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 5
Kristiine 0
Kuressaare 8
Olympic Tallinn 0
Saku Sporting 7
Rumori Calcio 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Tartu Helios 1
Viimsi JK 4
FC Tallinn 5
Harju JK Laagri U21 0
Harju JK Laagri 3
Tamper 1
Levadia 4
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Keila JK 3
Flora U19 2
1/8-finals
TBD -
Tartu JK Welco -
Elva 3
Tallinna Kalev 2
Narva 2
Kalju 0
Nomme Utd 3
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Kuressaare 4
Saku Sporting 2
Tammeka Tartu 4
Viimsi JK 1
FC Tallinn 0
Harju JK Laagri 10
Levadia 10
Keila JK 0
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
