Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kosmos vs Sakhalin

Russia Russia

Russian Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Bolshunov D.
Own Goal
68' Event
Gunko A.

AI Match Summary

Kosmos in this Russian Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Kosmos
15%
Draws
53%
Sakhalin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sakhalin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sakhalin lately — more wins on the board than Kosmos.
  • Win probability leans Sakhalin's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Sakhalin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kosmos, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kosmos have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Kosmos Clean Sheet 17%
Sakhalin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kosmos Sakhalin
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2024 Russian Cup
Kosmos vs Sakhalin
2:0
Aug 11, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kosmos vs Sakhalin
2:0
Apr 28, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Sakhalin vs Kosmos
0:2
Oct 22, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kosmos vs Sakhalin
1:0
Aug 31, 2022 Russian Cup
Kosmos vs Sakhalin
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kosmos Compare

Top Goalscorer Gunko A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sakhalin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kosmos 23 / 100
Sakhalin 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kosmos Sakhalin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sakhalin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kosmos scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Sakhalin has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Kosmos has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kosmos VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kosmos

(Home)
23 Aug
Kosmos
1 : 0
Spartak Moscow 2
16 Aug
FK Tver
1 : 0
Kosmos
08 Aug
Kosmos
1 : 0
Iskra Smolensk
02 Aug
FC Murom
3 : 1
Kosmos
30 Jul
FC 10
3 : 2
Kosmos
Page 1 of 7

Sakhalin

(Away)
03 Nov
Sakhalin
4 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
27 Oct
Sakhalin
1 : 0
Penza
20 Oct
Sakhalin
1 : 0
Spartak Tambov
12 Oct
FK Kompozit
2 : 2
Sakhalin
06 Oct
Khimki 2
1 : 0
Sakhalin
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kamaz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
Ryazan -
TBD -
TBD -
D. Bryansk -
Kaluga -
TBD -
Pskov 747 1
Luki-Energiya 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Baltika -
FC Oryol -
TBD -
TBD -
Kursk -
Spartak Tambov -
TBD -
TBD -
Salyut-Belgorod -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saratov -
Ural -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Chelyabinsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Irtysh Omsk -
Saturn Ramenskoye -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Chertanovo Moscow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tyumen -
Veles Moscow -
TBD -
Amkal Moscow 8
FK Kolomna 1
Kosmos -
TBD -
TBD -
Sakhalin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alania Vladikavkaz -
Amkar -
TBD -
Ilpar FC 0
Uralets Nizhny Tagil 2
Nosta -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Miass -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk -
M. Lipetsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Penza -
FK Kompozit -
TBD -
SSh Leningradets 1
Dynamo Petersburg 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan -
TBD -
FK Pobeda 1
Angust Nazran 0
Astrakhan -
TBD -
TBD -
Legion Makhachkala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ufa -
FC Irkutsk -
TBD -
Anri Vladivostok 1
Dynamo Vladivostok 5
Sibir Novosibirsk -
TBD -
Temp Barnaul 2
Dynamo Barnaul 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
FC Murom -
TBD -
FK ZOV 2
Vladimir 3
Khimik -
TBD -
Broke Boys 2
Kvant Obninsk 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
Leningradets -
TBD -
Kristall 4
Zvezda St Peterburg 1
Znamya Truda -
TBD -
Kirovets-Voskhozhdenie 0
FK Tver 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
Kuban -
TBD -
Kuban Kholding 2
Maykop 1
Forte Taganrog -
TBD -
TBD -
KDV Tomsk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Ulyanovsk -
TBD -
Orgenergostroy Dimitrovgrad 3
Lada Togliatti 4
Kirov -
TBD -
Sokol Kazan 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Mashuk -
TBD -
Nart Cherkessk 1
Biolog 2
Dynamo Stavropol -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartak Nalchik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rodina Moscow -
Tekstilshtik -
TBD -
Cherepovets 0
Dynamo Vologda 1
S. Kostroma -
TBD -
2Drots 1
Strogino Moscow 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yenisey -
1/16-finals
Kamaz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
Ryazan 4
D. Bryansk 0
Kaluga 1
Luki-Energiya 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Baltika -
FC Oryol 2
Kursk 0
Spartak Tambov 2
Salyut-Belgorod 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saratov -
Ural -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Chelyabinsk 2
Irtysh Omsk 1
Saturn Ramenskoye 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tyumen -
Veles Moscow 0
Amkal Moscow 2
Kosmos 2
Sakhalin 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alania Vladikavkaz -
Amkar 2
Uralets Nizhny Tagil 1
Nosta 0
Torpedo Miass 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk -
M. Lipetsk 1
Penza 2
FK Kompozit 2
Dynamo Petersburg 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 3
FK Pobeda 1
Astrakhan 2
Legion Makhachkala 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ufa -
FC Irkutsk 0
Dynamo Vladivostok 1
Sibir Novosibirsk 4
Temp Barnaul 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
FC Murom 3
Vladimir 2
Khimik 1
Broke Boys 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
Leningradets 4
Kristall 0
Znamya Truda 2
FK Tver 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
Kuban 0
Kuban Kholding 5
Forte Taganrog 5
KDV Tomsk 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Ulyanovsk 2
Lada Togliatti 0
Kirov 3
Sokol Kazan 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Mashuk 2
Biolog 0
Dynamo Stavropol 1
Spartak Nalchik 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rodina Moscow -
Tekstilshtik 3
Dynamo Vologda 1
S. Kostroma 1
2Drots 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yenisey -
1/8-finals
Kamaz -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
Ryazan 0
Luki-Energiya 3
TBD -
Baltika -
FC Oryol 4
Salyut-Belgorod 2
TBD -
Saratov -
Ural -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Chelyabinsk 1
FC Chertanovo Moscow 0
TBD -
Tyumen -
Amkal Moscow 2
Kosmos 1
TBD -
Alania Vladikavkaz -
Amkar 1
Torpedo Miass 0
TBD -
Chernomorets Novorossijsk -
Penza 0
FK Kompozit 3
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 2
Astrakhan 1
TBD -
Ufa -
Dynamo Vladivostok 2
Sibir Novosibirsk 0
TBD -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
FC Murom 2
Khimik 3
TBD -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
Leningradets 0
Znamya Truda 2
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
Kuban Kholding 1
Forte Taganrog 0
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Ulyanovsk 7
Kirov 0
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Mashuk 1
Dynamo Stavropol 0
TBD -
Rodina Moscow -
Tekstilshtik 1
S. Kostroma 2
TBD -
Yenisey -
Quarter-finals
Kamaz 1
Torpedo Moscow 2
Luki-Energiya 1
Baltika 2
FC Oryol 2
Saratov 3
Ural 1
SKA Khabarovsk 0
Chelyabinsk 0
Tyumen 2
Amkal Moscow 0
Alania Vladikavkaz 1
Amkar 4
Chernomorets Novorossijsk 3
FK Kompozit 1
Neftekhimik 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 1
Ufa 2
Dynamo Vladivostok 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl 1
Khimik 0
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 3
Znamya Truda 2
Arsenal Tula 1
Kuban Kholding 0
PFC Sochi 5
Ulyanovsk 2
R. Volgograd 1
Mashuk 0
Rodina Moscow 3
S. Kostroma 1
Yenisey 0
Semi-finals
Torpedo Moscow 0
Baltika 4
Saratov 1
Ural 3
Tyumen 1
Alania Vladikavkaz 0
Amkar 1
FK Kompozit 0
Ufa 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl 1
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
Znamya Truda 0
PFC Sochi 2
Ulyanovsk 0
Rodina Moscow 1
S. Kostroma 2
Final
Baltika 0
Ural 1
Tyumen 3
Amkar 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl 1
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 0
PFC Sochi 3
S. Kostroma 2