Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kosova vs Baden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kosova host Baden in the 1.Liga Classic Group 3. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Kosova at 1.69 goals for, 1.76 against; Baden at 1.9 for, 1.65 against. Head-to-head, Kosova have won 1 to Baden's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 2.00, favoring Baden. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kosova
20%
Draws
44%
Baden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baden come out ahead of Kosova on wins alone.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Baden taking it.
  • Regular 1.Liga Classic Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Kosova Clean Sheet 10%
Baden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kosova Baden
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 12 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.69 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Baden vs Kosova
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Kosova vs Baden
1:2
Mar 27, 2019 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Baden vs Kosova
4:0
Sep 2, 2018 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Kosova vs Baden
1:2
May 7, 2016 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Kosova vs Baden
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kosova 18 / 100
Baden 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kosova Baden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kosova found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Baden let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Kosova went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kosova VS Baden
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kosova

(Home)
24 Oct
Kosova
1 : 1
Taverne
17 Oct
Mendrisio
3 : 1
Kosova
10 Oct
Locarno
1 : 0
Kosova
07 Oct
Kosova
1 : 0
Dietikon
26 Sept
Tuggen
0 : 0
Kosova
Page 1 of 6

Baden

(Away)
24 Oct
Baden
6 : 0
FC Widnau
17 Oct
Baden
2 : 1
Wohlen
10 Oct
Gossau
3 : 2
Baden
03 Oct
Baden
2 : 3
Taverne
27 Sept
Locarno
3 : 1
Baden
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Gallen II 11 8 1 2 24:18 25
2 Tuggen 11 7 3 1 26:13 24
3 Taverne 11 6 3 2 27:14 21
4 Baden 11 6 1 4 27:17 19
5 Thalwil 11 5 4 2 18:12 19
6 Collina d'Oro 11 5 3 3 13:12 18
7 Kosova 11 4 5 2 16:13 17
8 Dietikon 11 4 2 5 14:16 14
9 Gossau 11 4 2 5 16:21 14
10 Wettswil-Bonstetten 11 3 3 5 14:16 12
11 Eschen/Mauren 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
12 Locarno 11 2 5 4 12:13 11
13 Freienbach 11 2 4 5 12:17 10
14 Mendrisio 11 1 6 4 11:15 9
15 Winterthur II 11 3 0 8 11:21 9
16 FC Widnau 11 1 3 7 8:27 6
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)