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Kosovo U21 vs Italy U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Mediterranean Games
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Giammattei G.
75' Event
Casagrande T.
90' Event
Perillo D.

AI Match Summary

Italy U18 in this Mediterranean Games matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kosovo U21
15%
Draws
54%
Italy U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Kosovo U21 haven't matched Italy U18's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Mediterranean Games form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Kosovo U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Italy U18 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kosovo U21 Italy U18
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.27 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Mediterranean Games
Kosovo U21 vs Italy U18
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kosovo U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Italy U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Giammattei G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Casagrande T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kosovo U21 31 / 100
Italy U18 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kosovo U21 Italy U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U18 let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Kosovo U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Kosovo U21 scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kosovo U21 VS Italy U18
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kosovo U21

(Home)
06 Oct
Kosovo U21
4 : 4
Finland U21
30 Sept
Kosovo U21
2 : 1
Cyprus U21
24 Sept
San Marino U21
0 : 3
Kosovo U21
26 Aug
Kosovo U21
0 : 3
Italy U18
24 Aug
Albania U21
3 : 1
Kosovo U21
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Italy U18

(Away)
05 Oct
Hungary U18
1 : 3
Italy U18
02 Oct
Saudi Arabia U18
0 : 2
Italy U18
29 Sept
Italy U18
3 : 1
Denmark U18
26 Sept
Chile U17
1 : 2
Italy U18
30 Aug
Italy U18
1 : 4
Morocco U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tunisia U21 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Morocco U20 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
3 Turkey U20 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
4 North Macedonia U21 3 0 1 2 1:8 1
Promotion - Mediterranean Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria U21 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Italy U18 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Albania U21 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Kosovo U21 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Mediterranean Games (Play Offs)