Sport Picks
Kostinbrod vs Balkan Botevgrad Prediction & H2H Stats
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Kostinbrod in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kostinbrod.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kostinbrod
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kostinbrod have won more games recently than Balkan Botevgrad.
- Kostinbrod are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 20%
Balkan Botevgrad Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kostinbrod | Balkan Botevgrad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Balkan Botevgrad
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Balkan Botevgrad
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Kostinbrod
2:2
Apr 27, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Balkan Botevgrad
1:0
Oct 7, 2023 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Kostinbrod
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kostinbrod 40 / 100
Balkan Botevgrad 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kostinbrod Balkan Botevgrad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kostinbrod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kostinbrod found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Kostinbrod stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Balkan Botevgrad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Kostinbrod VS Balkan Botevgrad
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kostinbrod
(Home) 26 Sept
Kostinbrod
0 : 1 Balkan Botevgrad
19 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
0 : 1 Kostinbrod
12 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 3 Kostinbrod
05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3 Septemvri Sofia 2
29 Aug
Levski Sofia II
1 : 2 Kostinbrod
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Kostinbrod
0 : 1 Balkan Botevgrad
05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3 Septemvri Sofia 2
23 Aug
Kostinbrod
1 : 0 Slavia Sofia 2
08 Aug
Kostinbrod
3 : 1 Kyustendil
23 May
Kostinbrod
2 : 1 Levski Sofia II
Page 1 of 4
Balkan Botevgrad
(Away) 26 Sept
Kostinbrod
0 : 1 Balkan Botevgrad
19 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
2 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
12 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0 Balkan Botevgrad
05 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0 Levski Sofia II
29 Aug
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 0 Balkan Botevgrad
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Kostinbrod
0 : 1 Balkan Botevgrad
12 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0 Balkan Botevgrad
29 Aug
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 0 Balkan Botevgrad
15 Aug
Kyustendil
0 : 1 Balkan Botevgrad
01 Aug
Strumska Slava
2 : 0 Balkan Botevgrad
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
