Sport Picks
Kostinbrod vs Bistritsa
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 
AI Match Summary
Kostinbrod play Bistritsa in the Third League - South-West. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kostinbrod averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Bistritsa averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Kostinbrod won 3, Bistritsa won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Kostinbrod and 1.31 for Bistritsa. This points to a Kostinbrod double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Kostinbrod picked up more points recently compared to Bistritsa.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.31 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kostinbrod | Bistritsa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 1 |
| Losses | 13 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kostinbrod scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Bistritsa let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Kostinbrod went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Bistritsa lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |