Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kostinbrod vs Kyustendil

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kostinbrod in this Third League - South-West matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kostinbrod.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kostinbrod
15%
Draws
34%
Kyustendil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kostinbrod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kostinbrod lately — more wins on the board than Kyustendil.
  • Kostinbrod are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kostinbrod have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 17%
Kyustendil Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kostinbrod Kyustendil
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Kyustendil
3:1
Apr 25, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Kyustendil
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Kostinbrod
0:2
Jun 1, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Kyustendil
1:0
Nov 18, 2023 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Kostinbrod
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kostinbrod 84 / 100
Kyustendil 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kostinbrod Kyustendil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kostinbrod's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kyustendil conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Kyustendil registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kostinbrod VS Kyustendil
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kostinbrod

(Home)
08 Aug
Kostinbrod
3 : 1
Kyustendil
01 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0
Kostinbrod
30 May
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
23 May
Kostinbrod
2 : 1
Levski Sofia II
16 May
Septemvri Simitli
4 : 1
Kostinbrod
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Kyustendil

(Away)
08 Aug
Kostinbrod
3 : 1
Kyustendil
01 Aug
Kyustendil
2 : 1
Slivnishki Geroy
29 May
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0
Kyustendil
23 May
Kyustendil
0 : 0
Slivnishki Geroy
17 May
Slavia Sofia 2
8 : 1
Kyustendil
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