Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kottern-St. Mang vs TSV Grunwald

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Cazorla A.
34' Event
Ender L.
49' Event
Fichtl R.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025 game between Kottern-St. Mang and TSV Grunwald finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kottern-St. Mang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Kottern-St. Mang
15%
Draws
26%
TSV Grunwald
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kottern-St. Mang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • TSV Grunwald haven't matched Kottern-St. Mang's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Kottern-St. Mang's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kottern-St. Mang Clean Sheet 20%
TSV Grunwald Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kottern-St. Mang TSV Grunwald
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.24 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Kottern-St. Mang vs TSV Grunwald
3:2
Jul 30, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
TSV Grunwald vs Kottern-St. Mang
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kottern-St. Mang Compare

Top Goalscorer Ender L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fichtl R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

TSV Grunwald Compare

Top Goalscorer Cazorla A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muller L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kottern-St. Mang 85 / 100
TSV Grunwald 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kottern-St. Mang TSV Grunwald

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kottern-St. Mang Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Kottern-St. Mang scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

TSV Grunwald has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Kottern-St. Mang has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kottern-St. Mang VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kottern-St. Mang

(Home)
19 Sept
Kottern-St. Mang
1 : 0
Ismaning
11 Sept
SV Erlbach
3 : 0
Kottern-St. Mang
05 Sept
Kottern-St. Mang
2 : 1
Kirchanschoring
29 Aug
Gundelfingen
1 : 1
Kottern-St. Mang
21 Aug
Kottern-St. Mang
0 : 1
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
Page 1 of 6

TSV Grunwald

(Away)
24 May
TSV Grunwald
0 : 2
Geretsried
21 May
Geretsried
4 : 0
TSV Grunwald
17 May
TSV Grunwald
5 : 1
Ismaning
09 May
Heimstetten
5 : 1
TSV Grunwald
02 May
TSV Grunwald
0 : 6
Landsberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Memmingen 32 17 12 3 49:21 63
2 Munich 1860 II 32 18 8 6 64:30 62
3 SV Erlbach 32 16 10 6 33:21 58
4 Pipinsried 32 18 4 10 63:39 58
5 Deisenhofen 32 17 5 10 56:45 56
6 Kottern-St. Mang 32 16 6 10 57:50 54
7 Kirchanschoring 32 15 7 10 57:46 52
8 Landsberg 32 14 2 16 64:41 44
9 Schalding 32 12 8 12 41:47 44
10 Heimstetten 32 12 5 15 78:70 41
11 Nordlingen 32 12 5 15 53:56 41
12 Turkspor Augsburg 32 10 7 15 37:59 37
13 Ismaning 32 9 8 15 35:51 35
14 TSV Grunwald 32 9 6 17 54:78 33
15 Sonthofen 32 9 5 18 39:60 32
16 Unterhaching II 32 8 7 17 32:61 31
17 Rain/Lech 32 5 5 22 39:76 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 (Relegation)