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Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Gornik Konin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Staron L.
60' Event
Staron L.
67' Event
Nowak M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between Kotwica Kolobrzeg and Gornik Konin finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kotwica Kolobrzeg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
28%
Draws
22%
Gornik Konin
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Kotwica Kolobrzeg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Kotwica Kolobrzeg haven't matched Gornik Konin's recent run of results.
  • Kotwica Kolobrzeg are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kotwica Kolobrzeg here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Kotwica Kolobrzeg Clean Sheet 20%
Gornik Konin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kotwica Kolobrzeg Gornik Konin
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 6.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Gornik Konin
3:1
Aug 22, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg
1:3
Apr 10, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Gornik Konin
0:0
Aug 31, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg
1:2
Mar 23, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kotwica Kolobrzeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Staron L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wlodyka K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Gornik Konin Compare

Top Goalscorer Nowak M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kotwica Kolobrzeg 49 / 100
Gornik Konin 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kotwica Kolobrzeg Gornik Konin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gornik Konin let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Gornik Konin's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Kotwica Kolobrzeg's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kotwica Kolobrzeg VS Gornik Konin
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 6
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Kotwica Kolobrzeg

(Home)
24 Sept
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin
25 May
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
17 May
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
1 : 1
Pogon Siedlce
11 May
Odra Opole
4 : 2
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
05 May
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
2 : 1
Chrobry Glogow
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Gornik Konin

(Away)
18 Jul
Kotwica Kornik
6 : 1
Gornik Konin
26 Feb
Gornik Konin
1 : 5
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
19 Jun
Gornik Konin
4 : 0
KS Mieszko Gniezno
16 Jun
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
3 : 1
Gornik Konin
12 Jun
Gornik Konin
2 : 2
Chemik Police
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