Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group II 2018/2019

Kotwica Kolobrzeg

1 - 0

KS Wierzyca Pelplin

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2018/2019 game between Kotwica Kolobrzeg and KS Wierzyca Pelplin finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kotwica Kolobrzeg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Kotwica Kolobrzeg

39%

Draws

31%

KS Wierzyca Pelplin

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Kotwica Kolobrzeg come out ahead of KS Wierzyca Pelplin on wins alone.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 4 times recently and Kotwica Kolobrzeg have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Kotwica Kolobrzeg Clean Sheet 10%

KS Wierzyca Pelplin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kotwica Kolobrzeg	KS Wierzyca Pelplin
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	6	2
Draws	7	4
Losses	14	23
Goals Scored	0.75	4
Goals Conceded	0.63	2
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2019 III Liga - Group II

Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs KS Wierzyca Pelplin

Possession: 54% - 60% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Aug 25, 2018 III Liga - Group II

KS Wierzyca Pelplin vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Apr 14, 2018 III Liga - Group II

Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs KS Wierzyca Pelplin

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Sep 9, 2017 III Liga - Group II

KS Wierzyca Pelplin vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kotwica Kolobrzeg 29 / 100

KS Wierzyca Pelplin 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kotwica Kolobrzeg KS Wierzyca Pelplin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: KS Wierzyca Pelplin conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: KS Wierzyca Pelplin registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Kotwica Kolobrzeg scored in 56% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Kotwica Kolobrzeg VS KS Wierzyca Pelplin

0.75 Goals Scored 4

0.63 Goals Conceded 2

38% Over 1.5 100%

25% Over 2.5 100%

25% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lech Poznan II	34	23	6	5	86:33	75
2	KKS Kalisz	34	21	6	7	70:37	69
3	Stezyca	34	21	6	7	75:37	69
4	Kotwica Kolobrzeg	34	20	8	6	70:41	68
5	KS Mieszko Gniezno	34	19	4	11	74:53	61
6	Polonia Sroda Wielkopol	34	19	3	12	59:44	60
7	Swit Szczecin	34	16	10	8	50:33	58
8	B. Gdynia	34	18	3	13	59:50	57
9	Kleczew	34	16	5	13	48:50	53
10	Starogard Gdanski	34	14	9	11	56:37	51
11	Pogon Szczecin II	34	14	3	17	52:59	45
12	Gornik Konin	34	12	5	17	46:56	41
13	Baltyk Koszalin	34	12	4	18	57:75	40
14	Jarocin	34	10	8	16	37:50	38
15	Gwardia Koszalin	34	10	3	21	35:71	33
16	Chemik Bydgoszcz	34	9	3	22	38:66	30
17	KS Wierzyca Pelplin	34	3	5	26	34:81	14
18	Wda Swiecie	34	1	5	28	20:93	8