Sport Picks

Poland

Polish Cup 2025/2026 Municipal Stadium Sebastiana Karpiniuka, Kolobrzeg

Pogon Szczecin

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Polish Cup 2025/2026. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Pogon Szczecin have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Kotwica Kolobrzeg have conceded 0 and scored 0. Past meetings favor Pogon Szczecin slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 24, 2025, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.04 xG vs 1.05) point toward Pogon Szczecin. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Kotwica Kolobrzeg

30%

Draws

34%

Pogon Szczecin

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kotwica Kolobrzeg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Pogon Szczecin come out ahead of Kotwica Kolobrzeg on wins alone.
Win probability leans Kotwica Kolobrzeg's way, sitting at 36%.
Pogon Szczecin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Pogon Szczecin, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Pogon Szczecin here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Kotwica Kolobrzeg Clean Sheet 20%

Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kotwica Kolobrzeg	Pogon Szczecin
Matches Played	26	30
Wins	5	13
Draws	7	6
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	0	1
Goals Conceded	0	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2025 Polish Cup

Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Pogon Szczecin

0:3

Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly

Pogon Szczecin vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg

0:0

Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly

Pogon Szczecin vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg

3:0

Jul 25, 2019 Club Friendly

Pogon Szczecin vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg

3:2

Feb 6, 2017 Club Friendly

Pogon Szczecin vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg

4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kotwica Kolobrzeg 36 / 100

Pogon Szczecin 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kotwica Kolobrzeg Pogon Szczecin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Pogon Szczecin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Pogon Szczecin has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Kotwica Kolobrzeg scored in 54% of their last 26 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pogon Szczecin

0 Goals Scored 1

0 Goals Conceded 0.88

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kotwica Kolobrzeg

(Home)

24 Sept

Kotwica Kolobrzeg

0 : 3

Pogon Szczecin

25 May

Termalica Bruk-Bet

2 : 1

Kotwica Kolobrzeg

17 May

Kotwica Kolobrzeg

1 : 1

Pogon Siedlce

11 May

Odra Opole

4 : 2

Kotwica Kolobrzeg

05 May

Kotwica Kolobrzeg

2 : 1

Chrobry Glogow

Page 1 of 6

Pogon Szczecin

(Away)

15 Jul

Sturm Graz

1 : 0

Pogon Szczecin

11 Jul

Fenerbahce

4 : 0

Pogon Szczecin

08 Jul

Pogon Szczecin

2 : 1

Chrobry Glogow

04 Jul

Zaglebie

2 : 0

Pogon Szczecin

27 Jun

BFC Dynamo

0 : 3

Pogon Szczecin

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Zawisza-

TBD-

Tychy-

GKS Wikielec-

TBD-

Podbeskidzie2

R. Rzeszow1

Siarka Tarnobrzeg-

TBD-

Hutnik Krakow3

Zaglebie Sosnowiec0

Bytom Odrzanski-

TBD-

Wisla-

Beskid Andrychow-

TBD-

Chojniczanka2

Rekord Bielsko-Biala1

Legnica II-

TBD-

Swit Szczecin2

LKS Lodz II1

Malapanew Ozimek-

TBD-

Pruszkow-

S. Rzeszow-

TBD-

Korona Kielce-

LKS Lomza-

TBD-

Odra Opole-

Korona Kielce II-

TBD-

Piast Gliwice-

Gryf Slupsk-

TBD-

Polonia Warszawa-

TBD-

Lech Poznan-

Stal Mielec-

TBD-

Puszcza-

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki3

Wisla Pulawy0

TBD-

Lechia Gdansk-

Arka Gdynia-

TBD-

Motor Lublin-

Legia II-

TBD-

Gornik Zabrze-

Avia Swidnik-

TBD-

Ruch Chorzow-

Swinoujscie-

TBD-

KKS Kalisz0

GKS Jastrzebie2

Goczalkowice Zdroj II-

TBD-

Stal Stalowa Wola3

Skra Czestochowa1

Warta Poznan1

Olimpia Elblag0

Polonia Bytom7

Zaglebie II1

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol-

TBD-

KS Wieczysta Krakow0

Ol. Grudziadz1

Tomaszow Mazowiecki-

TBD-

Slask Wroclaw-

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Leczna-

TBD-

Cracovia-

LKS Lodz-

TBD-

Chrobry Glogow-

GKS Katowice-

TBD-

Wisla Plock-

Legnica-

TBD-

Pogon Siedlce-

TBD-

Jagiellonia-

Legia-

TBD-

Kotwica Kolobrzeg-

TBD-

Pogon Szczecin-

Termalica Bruk-Bet-

TBD-

Widzew Lodz-

Radomiak Radom-

TBD-

Zaglebie-

1/32-finals

Zawisza2

Tychy0

GKS Wikielec2

Podbeskidzie1

Siarka Tarnobrzeg0

Hutnik Krakow1

Bytom Odrzanski0

Wisla1

Beskid Andrychow0

Chojniczanka3

Legnica II1

Swit Szczecin3

Malapanew Ozimek1

Pruszkow2

S. Rzeszow0

Korona Kielce1

LKS Lomza0

Odra Opole2

Korona Kielce II0

Piast Gliwice1

Gryf Slupsk1

Polonia Warszawa0

TBD-

Lech Poznan-

Stal Mielec1

Puszcza2

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki0

Lechia Gdansk1

Arka Gdynia1

Motor Lublin0

Legia II0

Gornik Zabrze3

Avia Swidnik3

Ruch Chorzow1

Swinoujscie3

GKS Jastrzebie2

Goczalkowice Zdroj II3

Stal Stalowa Wola1

Warta Poznan0

Polonia Bytom1

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol1

Ol. Grudziadz3

Tomaszow Mazowiecki1

Slask Wroclaw2

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Leczna1

Cracovia5

LKS Lodz5

Chrobry Glogow3

GKS Katowice4

Wisla Plock2

Legnica2

Pogon Siedlce0

TBD-

Jagiellonia-

Legia-

TBD-

Kotwica Kolobrzeg0

Pogon Szczecin3

Termalica Bruk-Bet2

Widzew Lodz3

Radomiak Radom0

Zaglebie2

1/16-finals

Zawisza3

GKS Wikielec0

Hutnik Krakow0

Wisla1

Chojniczanka3

Swit Szczecin1

Pruszkow0

Korona Kielce3

Odra Opole0

Piast Gliwice2

Gryf Slupsk1

Lech Poznan2

Puszcza1

Lechia Gdansk3

Arka Gdynia1

Gornik Zabrze2

Avia Swidnik3

Swinoujscie0

Goczalkowice Zdroj II0

Polonia Bytom7

Ol. Grudziadz0

Slask Wroclaw1

Rakow Czestochowa3

Cracovia0

LKS Lodz1

GKS Katowice2

Legnica2

Jagiellonia3

Legia1

Pogon Szczecin2

Widzew Lodz1

Zaglebie0

1/8-finals

Zawisza4

Wisla1

Chojniczanka2

Korona Kielce1

Piast Gliwice0

Lech Poznan2

Lechia Gdansk1

Gornik Zabrze3

Avia Swidnik4

Polonia Bytom2

Slask Wroclaw1

Rakow Czestochowa2

GKS Katowice3

Jagiellonia1

Pogon Szczecin0

Widzew Lodz1

Quarter-finals

Zawisza2

Chojniczanka1

Lech Poznan0

Gornik Zabrze1

Avia Swidnik1

Rakow Czestochowa2

GKS Katowice2

Widzew Lodz1

Semi-finals

Zawisza0

Gornik Zabrze1

Rakow Czestochowa5

GKS Katowice4

Final

Gornik Zabrze2

Rakow Czestochowa0