Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kozara vs Slavija

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - RS
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kozara play Slavija in the Prva Liga - RS. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kozara averaged 1 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Slavija averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Kozara won 1, Slavija won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Kozara and 0.88 for Slavija. This points to a Slavija double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Kozara
17%
Draws
45%
Slavija
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Slavija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Kozara picked up more points recently compared to Slavija.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Kozara Clean Sheet 25%
Slavija Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kozara Slavija
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.28 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Prva Liga - RS
Kozara vs Slavija
0:3
Mar 7, 2026 Prva Liga - RS
Kozara vs Slavija
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Slavija vs Kozara
4:0
Apr 19, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Slavija vs Kozara
5:2
Sep 28, 2024 Prva Liga - RS
Kozara vs Slavija
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kozara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Slavija Compare

Top Goalscorer Stjepic L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Babaluk E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kozara 39 / 100
Slavija 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kozara Slavija

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Slavija or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kozara attacking → ← attacking Slavija

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kozara scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Slavija let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Kozara went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Slavija lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 44
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1BSK Banja Luka29176646:2657
2Laktasi29168552:2056
3Leotar291314241:1753
4Zvornik291171143:2740
5Kozara291171128:3440
6Slavija291091033:2939