Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kozarska Dubica vs Ljubic Prnjavor

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - RS 2024/2025 Dolovi Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kozarska Dubica play Ljubic Prnjavor in the Prva Liga - RS 2024/2025. Ljubic Prnjavor are favorites here. Recently, Kozarska Dubica averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2.77 conceded. Ljubic Prnjavor averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Kozarska Dubica won 1, Ljubic Prnjavor won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2025 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Kozarska Dubica and 2.50 for Ljubic Prnjavor. This points to a Ljubic Prnjavor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Kozarska Dubica
18%
Draws
66%
Ljubic Prnjavor
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Ljubic Prnjavor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Kozarska Dubica picked up more points recently compared to Ljubic Prnjavor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 2.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Kozarska Dubica Clean Sheet 10%
Ljubic Prnjavor Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kozarska Dubica Ljubic Prnjavor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 0.73 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.77 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Kozarska Dubica vs Ljubic Prnjavor
2:4
Oct 12, 2024 Prva Liga - RS
Ljubic Prnjavor vs Kozarska Dubica
2:0
Mar 27, 2024 Prva Liga - RS
Kozarska Dubica vs Ljubic Prnjavor
1:0
Sep 9, 2023 Prva Liga - RS
Ljubic Prnjavor vs Kozarska Dubica
2:2
Apr 16, 2022 Prva Liga - RS
Kozarska Dubica vs Ljubic Prnjavor
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kozarska Dubica Compare

Top Goalscorer Pralica P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mitrovic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ljubic Prnjavor Compare

Top Goalscorer Knezevic A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Zizak A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kozarska Dubica 16 / 100
Ljubic Prnjavor 61 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kozarska Dubica Ljubic Prnjavor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ljubic Prnjavor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Ljubic Prnjavor & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kozarska Dubica attacking → ← attacking Ljubic Prnjavor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kozarska Dubica scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Ljubic Prnjavor let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Kozarska Dubica went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ljubic Prnjavor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 36
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
3.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Laktasi34263590:2481
2BSK Banja Luka34225767:3971
3Rudar Prijedor34206850:2166
4Zvijezda 09341861046:3460
5Sloboda Novi Grad341571243:3849
6Slavija341381353:4247
7Famos Vojkovici341371440:3546
8Sutjeska Foca341441642:5546
9Leotar341291342:2945
10Romanija Pale3411111236:3244
11Zvornik341351638:4244
12Kozara341191438:4742
13Nevesinje341261638:5842
14Drina Visegrad341331837:5942
15Zeljeznicar Banja Luka341251746:5241
16Ljubic Prnjavor341171639:6240
17Mrkonjic Grad34971844:6134
18Kozarska Dubica34542529:8816