Sport Picks
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Belasica Strumica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
North Macedonia
2. MFL 
AI Match Summary
The 2. MFL game between Kozuf Gevgelija and Belasica Strumica finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Belasica Strumica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Belasica Strumica come out ahead of Kozuf Gevgelija on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Kozuf Gevgelija Clean Sheet 15%
Belasica Strumica Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kozuf Gevgelija | Belasica Strumica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Belasica Strumica
2:2
Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Belasica Strumica
0:2
Apr 18, 2026 2. MFL
Belasica Strumica vs Kozuf Gevgelija
0:0
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Belasica Strumica
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Belasica Strumica
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kozuf Gevgelija 35 / 100
Belasica Strumica 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kozuf Gevgelija Belasica Strumica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Belasica Strumica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kozuf Gevgelija scored in 63% of their last 27 games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Kozuf Gevgelija has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Belasica Strumica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Kozuf Gevgelija VS Belasica Strumica
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Kozuf Gevgelija
(Home) 10 Oct
Detonit Plackovica
1 : 1 Kozuf Gevgelija
19 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1 Novaci
13 Sept
Osogovo
0 : 1 Kozuf Gevgelija
09 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1 FK Skopje
05 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
2 : 2 Belasica Strumica
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1 Novaci
09 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1 FK Skopje
05 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
2 : 2 Belasica Strumica
22 Aug
Kozuf Gevgelija
2 : 0 Shkupi
08 Aug
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1 Detonit Plackovica
Page 1 of 4
Belasica Strumica
(Away) 19 Sept
Gorno Lisice
0 : 0 Belasica Strumica
13 Sept
Belasica Strumica
2 : 2 Teteks
09 Sept
Osogovo
1 : 3 Belasica Strumica
05 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
2 : 2 Belasica Strumica
30 Aug
Belasica Strumica
1 : 1 Detonit Plackovica
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Gorno Lisice
0 : 0 Belasica Strumica
09 Sept
Osogovo
1 : 3 Belasica Strumica
05 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
2 : 2 Belasica Strumica
22 Aug
Novaci
0 : 1 Belasica Strumica
01 Aug
Detonit Plackovica
0 : 1 Belasica Strumica
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 16 |
| 2 | Rabotnicki | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 15 |
| 3 | Brera Strumica | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 14 |
| 4 | Pelister | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:1 | 14 |
| 5 | Belasica Strumica | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 6 | Makedonija GP | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4:4 | 10 |
| 7 | Kamjani | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 10 |
| 8 | Teteks | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 9 | Detonit Plackovica | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 10 | Kozuf Gevgelija | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 11 | Novaci | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Gorno Lisice | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 13 | Osogovo | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 14 | Shkupi | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1:23 | 0 |
Promotion - 1. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL (Relegation)
