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Kozuf Gevgelija vs FK Skopje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Macedonian Cup
Kozuf Gevgelija Logo

Kozuf Gevgelija

0 - 1
FT
FK Skopje Logo

FK Skopje

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Angelov V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Kozuf Gevgelija
20%
Draws
30%
FK Skopje
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kozuf Gevgelija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • FK Skopje carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • FK Skopje arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Skopje, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Kozuf Gevgelija Clean Sheet 20%
FK Skopje Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kozuf Gevgelija FK Skopje
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 17
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Macedonian Cup
Kozuf Gevgelija vs FK Skopje
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 2. MFL
FK Skopje vs Kozuf Gevgelija
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs FK Skopje
1:1
Mar 4, 2025 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs FK Skopje
0:1
Sep 25, 2024 2. MFL
FK Skopje vs Kozuf Gevgelija
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kozuf Gevgelija Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

FK Skopje Compare

Top Goalscorer Angelov V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kozuf Gevgelija 36 / 100
FK Skopje 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kozuf Gevgelija FK Skopje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Skopje Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kozuf Gevgelija scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Kozuf Gevgelija remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: FK Skopje registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

FK Skopje has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kozuf Gevgelija VS FK Skopje
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kozuf Gevgelija

(Home)
10 Oct
Detonit Plackovica
1 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
19 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1
Novaci
13 Sept
Osogovo
0 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
09 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1
FK Skopje
05 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
2 : 2
Belasica Strumica
Page 1 of 6

FK Skopje

(Away)
11 Oct
FK Skopje
1 : 2
Vardar
23 Sept
Bregalnica Stip
1 : 0
FK Skopje
14 Sept
Shkendija Haracine
1 : 0
FK Skopje
09 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1
FK Skopje
05 Sept
FK Skopje
1 : 2
Bashkimi
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Ovce Pole 0
Vardar 5
BVK Konjare 0
Bashkimi 5
Studenicani 1
Pelister 6
Venec Negotino 0
Brera Strumica 8
Vellazerimi 0
Makedonija GP 14
Vardar Negotino -
Rabotnicki -
Kamenica Sasa 1
Shkupi 0
Teteks 1
Bregalnica Stip 4
Kozuf Gevgelija 0
FK Skopje 1
Detonit Plackovica 1
Shkendija Haracine 3
Novaci 1
Ohrid 0
Osogovo 1
Belasica Strumica 3
Krosu Sport Bitola 0
Tikves 13
Mogila 0
Arsimi 12
Pobeda Valandovo 1
Struga 10
Sileks -
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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