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Kozuf Gevgelija vs Novaci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Kozuf Gevgelija and Novaci finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kozuf Gevgelija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kozuf Gevgelija
20%
Draws
51%
Novaci
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Novaci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Novaci have managed 1.14 goals a game lately — Kozuf Gevgelija are scoring more at 1.61.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Kozuf Gevgelija taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Kozuf Gevgelija Clean Sheet 20%
Novaci Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kozuf Gevgelija Novaci
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.61 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Novaci
0:1
Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Novaci
1:0
Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Novaci vs Kozuf Gevgelija
0:0
Feb 28, 2026 2. MFL
Novaci vs Kozuf Gevgelija
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Novaci
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kozuf Gevgelija 36 / 100
Novaci 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kozuf Gevgelija Novaci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kozuf Gevgelija scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Novaci conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Kozuf Gevgelija has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Kozuf Gevgelija VS Novaci
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kozuf Gevgelija

(Home)
10 Oct
Detonit Plackovica
1 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
19 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1
Novaci
13 Sept
Osogovo
0 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
09 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1
FK Skopje
05 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
2 : 2
Belasica Strumica
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Novaci

(Away)
10 Oct
Novaci
1 : 4
Teteks
19 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1
Novaci
13 Sept
Novaci
3 : 1
Detonit Plackovica
09 Sept
Novaci
1 : 0
Ohrid
05 Sept
Kamjani
1 : 0
Novaci
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