Sport Picks
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Pobeda Valandovo
North Macedonia
Division 1 2017/2018 
AI Match Summary
Kozuf Gevgelija in this Division 1 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kozuf Gevgelija.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Kozuf Gevgelija
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kozuf Gevgelija lately — more wins on the board than Pobeda Valandovo.
- Model gives Kozuf Gevgelija a 50% chance of winning this.
- Regular Division 1 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Kozuf Gevgelija here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Kozuf Gevgelija Clean Sheet 20%
Pobeda Valandovo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kozuf Gevgelija | Pobeda Valandovo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 26 |
| Wins | 13 | 2 |
| Draws | 7 | 1 |
| Losses | 8 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Pobeda Valandovo vs Kozuf Gevgelija
0:3
Apr 7, 2018 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Pobeda Valandovo
2:0
Nov 11, 2017 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Pobeda Valandovo
2:0
Sep 16, 2017 2. MFL
Pobeda Valandovo vs Kozuf Gevgelija
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kozuf Gevgelija 49 / 100
Pobeda Valandovo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kozuf Gevgelija Pobeda Valandovo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KOZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Pobeda Valandovo conceded in 96% of 26 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Kozuf Gevgelija scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Kozuf Gevgelija went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kozuf Gevgelija VS Pobeda Valandovo
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Kozuf Gevgelija
(Home) 25 Jul
Kozuf Gevgelija
1 : 0 Novaci
30 May
Kozuf Gevgelija
4 : 0 Borec
23 May
Vardar Negotino
0 : 5 Kozuf Gevgelija
16 May
Kozuf Gevgelija
1 : 4 Teteks
10 May
Kozuf Gevgelija
8 : 0 Pobeda
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Kozuf Gevgelija
1 : 0 Novaci
30 May
Kozuf Gevgelija
4 : 0 Borec
16 May
Kozuf Gevgelija
1 : 4 Teteks
10 May
Kozuf Gevgelija
8 : 0 Pobeda
25 Apr
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1 Shkendija Haracine
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Pobeda Valandovo
(Away) 24 Jul
Pobeda Valandovo
1 : 1 Osogovo
30 May
Pobeda Valandovo
0 : 2 Kamjani
28 Feb
Bregalnica Delcevo
1 : 5 Pobeda Valandovo
13 Feb
Pobeda Valandovo
1 : 2 Osogovo
07 Feb
Pobeda Valandovo
0 : 3 Kozuf Gevgelija
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28 Feb
Bregalnica Delcevo
1 : 5 Pobeda Valandovo
09 Aug
Sloga Vinica
3 : 0 Pobeda Valandovo
06 Aug
Belasica Strumica
5 : 0 Pobeda Valandovo
25 Jul
Golemo Konjari
2 : 0 Pobeda Valandovo
05 May
Plackovica
8 : 2 Pobeda Valandovo
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belasica Strumica | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 81:11 | 59 |
| 2 | Borec | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 43:15 | 53 |
| 3 | Bregalnica Stip | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 54:20 | 53 |
| 4 | Kozuf Gevgelija | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 34:33 | 40 |
| 5 | Tikves | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 45:43 | 37 |
| 6 | Plackovica | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 40:50 | 30 |
| 7 | Kamenica Sasa | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 32:42 | 25 |
| 8 | Osogovo | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 26:53 | 19 |
| 9 | Pobeda Valandovo | 25 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 25:95 | 10 |
| 10 | Turnovo | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8:26 | 3 |
Promotion - First League 2017/2018 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Makedonija GP | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 49:23 | 56 |
| 2 | KF Gostivar | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 48:26 | 54 |
| 3 | Vellazerimi | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 46:27 | 53 |
| 4 | Struga | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 44:30 | 45 |
| 5 | FK Labunishta | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Teteks | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 42:42 | 39 |
| 7 | Gorno Lisice | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 32:46 | 35 |
| 8 | Lok. Skopje | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 30:41 | 26 |
| 9 | Zajazi | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 24:62 | 17 |
| 10 | Novaci | 27 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 23:55 | 9 |
Promotion - First League 2017/2018 (Relegation)