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Kozuf Gevgelija vs Shkupi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 2. MFL game between Kozuf Gevgelija and Shkupi finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kozuf Gevgelija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Kozuf Gevgelija
20%
Draws
0%
Shkupi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kozuf Gevgelija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kozuf Gevgelija come out ahead of Shkupi on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Kozuf Gevgelija taking it.
  • Regular 2. MFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.8%
Kozuf Gevgelija Clean Sheet 20%
Shkupi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kozuf Gevgelija Shkupi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 0
Draws 4 1
Losses 12 28
Goals Scored 1.69 0.24
Goals Conceded 1.1 3.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 2. MFL
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Shkupi
2:0
Sep 10, 2025 Macedonian Cup
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Shkupi
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kozuf Gevgelija 85 / 100
Shkupi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kozuf Gevgelija Shkupi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kozuf Gevgelija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shkupi has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Shkupi's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Kozuf Gevgelija scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Kozuf Gevgelija VS Shkupi
0.63 Goals Scored 0.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kozuf Gevgelija

(Home)
10 Oct
Detonit Plackovica
1 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
19 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1
Novaci
13 Sept
Osogovo
0 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
09 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
0 : 1
FK Skopje
05 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
2 : 2
Belasica Strumica
Page 1 of 6

Shkupi

(Away)
10 Oct
Shkupi
0 : 1
Makedonija GP
20 Sept
Brera Strumica
7 : 0
Shkupi
13 Sept
Shkupi
0 : 4
Pelister
09 Sept
Kamenica Sasa
1 : 0
Shkupi
05 Sept
Gorno Lisice
4 : 0
Shkupi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ohrid 7 5 1 1 16:6 16
2 Rabotnicki 6 5 0 1 11:3 15
3 Brera Strumica 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
4 Pelister 6 4 2 0 9:1 14
5 Belasica Strumica 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
6 Makedonija GP 7 3 1 3 4:4 10
7 Kamjani 7 3 1 3 7:10 10
8 Teteks 7 2 3 2 10:9 9
9 Detonit Plackovica 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
10 Kozuf Gevgelija 7 2 2 3 7:12 8
11 Novaci 7 2 1 4 6:9 7
12 Gorno Lisice 7 1 2 4 6:7 5
13 Osogovo 7 0 3 4 3:7 3
14 Shkupi 7 0 0 7 1:23 0
Promotion - 1. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL (Relegation)