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Kozuf Gevgelija vs Shkupi

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Macedonian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Muharem S.
87' Event
Adili D.
90'
Ristov M.

AI Match Summary

Shkupi in this Macedonian Cup matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shkupi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kozuf Gevgelija
6%
Draws
4%
Shkupi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kozuf Gevgelija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shkupi haven't matched Kozuf Gevgelija's recent run of results.
  • Kozuf Gevgelija are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Macedonian Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Kozuf Gevgelija Clean Sheet 20%
Shkupi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kozuf Gevgelija Shkupi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 0
Draws 8 2
Losses 11 28
Goals Scored 2.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 5.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 5.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2025 Macedonian Cup
Kozuf Gevgelija vs Shkupi
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kozuf Gevgelija Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Shkupi Compare

Top Goalscorer Muharem S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adili D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kozuf Gevgelija 85 / 100
Shkupi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kozuf Gevgelija Shkupi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shkupi let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Shkupi has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Kozuf Gevgelija went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kozuf Gevgelija VS Shkupi
2.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 5.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Vardar-
TBD-
Pcinja0
Novaci3
Ohrid2
Brera Strumica1
Kozuf Gevgelija0
Shkupi2
Belasica Strumica3
Arsimi2
Bashkimi 20081
Detonit Plackovica4
Pobeda0
Bashkimi4
Evrotip Online1
Sileks7
Ljuboten Tetovo0
Makedonija GP14
TBD-
Struga-
Jeni Maale0
Shkendija Tetovo9
FK Skopje0
Tikves1
Shkendija Haracine2
Kamenica Sasa1
Teteks1
Pelister2
Karbinci0
Rabotnicki16
Pobeda Valandovo0
Bregalnica Stip6
1/8-finals
Vardar3
Novaci1
Ohrid3
Shkupi0
Belasica Strumica0
Detonit Plackovica1
Bashkimi1
Sileks2
Makedonija GP0
Struga5
Shkendija Tetovo2
Tikves0
Shkendija Haracine1
Pelister0
Rabotnicki2
Bregalnica Stip1
Quarter-finals
Vardar1
Ohrid2
Detonit Plackovica0
Sileks3
Struga2
Shkendija Tetovo3
Shkendija Haracine3
Rabotnicki1
Semi-finals
Ohrid1
Sileks2
Shkendija Tetovo5
Shkendija Haracine2
Final
Sileks1
Shkendija Tetovo0