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KPV Kokkola vs SalPa Prediction & H2H Stats

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Kokkolan keskuskentta, Kokkola
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Wegye W.
23' Event
Vesala E.
46'
Sub
Moilanen O. In: Aberg M.
Out: Moilanen O.

AI Match Summary

The Ykkonen game between KPV Kokkola and SalPa finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KPV Kokkola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
KPV Kokkola
15%
Draws
68%
SalPa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SalPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SalPa come out ahead of KPV Kokkola on wins alone.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on SalPa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
KPV Kokkola Clean Sheet 10%
SalPa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KPV Kokkola SalPa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 3 6
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.28 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Ykkonen
KPV Kokkola vs SalPa
3:0
May 9, 2026 Ykkonen
SalPa vs KPV Kokkola
6:0
Sep 27, 2023 Ykkosliiga
SalPa vs KPV Kokkola
2:0
Aug 19, 2023 Ykkosliiga
SalPa vs KPV Kokkola
2:2
Jun 8, 2023 Ykkosliiga
KPV Kokkola vs SalPa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KPV Kokkola Compare

Top Goalscorer Wegye W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vesala E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

SalPa Compare

Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KPV Kokkola 10 / 100
SalPa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KPV Kokkola SalPa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SalPa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SalPa conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: KPV Kokkola scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

KPV Kokkola has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KPV Kokkola VS SalPa
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

KPV Kokkola

(Home)
26 Sept
VJS
2 : 0
KPV Kokkola
18 Sept
KPV Kokkola
3 : 2
KuPS Akatemia
11 Sept
Jazz Pori
3 : 0
KPV Kokkola
29 Aug
JJK Jyvaskyla
4 : 1
KPV Kokkola
21 Aug
KPV Kokkola
2 : 4
KuPS Akatemia
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SalPa

(Away)
26 Sept
RoPS Rovaniemi
3 : 1
SalPa
19 Sept
SalPa
6 : 4
Tampere Utd
12 Sept
SalPa
4 : 3
JJK Jyvaskyla
29 Aug
KuPS Akatemia
1 : 3
SalPa
22 Aug
SalPa
4 : 1
OLS Oulu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere Utd 22 13 5 4 47:18 44
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 22 11 7 4 47:32 40
3 SalPa 22 10 6 6 41:35 36
4 Keski-Uusimaa 22 9 8 5 40:30 35
5 OLS Oulu 22 9 7 6 43:35 34
6 JJK Jyvaskyla 22 8 7 7 51:42 31
7 VJS 22 7 10 5 38:31 31
8 Jazz Pori 22 9 6 7 32:29 30
9 TPV 22 6 6 10 30:40 24
10 FC Inter Turku 2 22 5 5 12 32:51 20
11 KuPS Akatemia 22 3 6 13 37:51 15
12 KPV Kokkola 22 4 3 15 24:68 15
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ykkonen (Relegation Group)