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KR Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla KR-völlur
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

KR Reykjavik play IBV Vestmannaeyjar in the Besta deild karla. It looks like a close match. Recently, KR Reykjavik averaged 3.2 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. IBV Vestmannaeyjar averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.78 conceded. In past meetings, KR Reykjavik won 3, IBV Vestmannaeyjar won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 23, 2026 ended 2:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for KR Reykjavik and 2.19 for IBV Vestmannaeyjar. This points to a KR Reykjavik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
KR Reykjavik
15%
Draws
30%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KR Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • KR Reykjavik picked up more points recently compared to IBV Vestmannaeyjar.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 2.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
KR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KR Reykjavik IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 18 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 3.2 1.78
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs KR Reykjavik
2:6
Oct 19, 2025 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs KR Reykjavik
2:1
May 14, 2025 Icelandic Cup
KR Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2:4
May 10, 2025 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KR Reykjavik 52 / 100
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KR Reykjavik IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KR Reykjavik Win (1)
Secondary Pick KR Reykjavik & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

KR Reykjavik attacking → ← attacking IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KR Reykjavik scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

KR Reykjavik went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 31
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vikingur Reykjavik14131048:940
2KR Reykjavik1492348:3429
3Fram1282231:2426
4Breidablik1254330:2419
5Valur1361624:2619
6Keflavik1243517:2315
7Akranes1243516:2315
8Stjarnan1342726:2914
9IBV Vestmannaeyjar1233621:2612
10KA Akureyri1331919:2810
11Thor Akureyri1322914:358
12Hafnarfjordur1214716:297