Sport Picks

Iceland

Besta deild karla KR-völlur

KR Reykjavik

5 - 3

KA Akureyri

Our Tip

Match Events

Sigurdarson A.

Assist: Saebjornsson E.

17'

Saebjornsson E.

Assist: Rae L.

18'

Sub

Traustason A. In: Kjartansson O.

Out: Traustason A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between KR Reykjavik and KA Akureyri finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KR Reykjavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

KR Reykjavik

Draws

KA Akureyri

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: KR Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

KR Reykjavik carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans KR Reykjavik's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 80%

Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%

KR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

KA Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	KR Reykjavik	KA Akureyri
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	18	11
Draws	4	3
Losses	8	15
Goals Scored	2.75	1.63
Goals Conceded	2.63	2.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.63	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Besta deild karla

KR Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 1 - 2

5:3

Jan 31, 2026 League Cup

KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

0:2

Sep 21, 2025 Besta deild karla

KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

4:2

Jul 6, 2025 Besta deild karla

KR Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Apr 6, 2025 Besta deild karla

KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik

Possession: 51% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KR Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Sigurdarson A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Saebjornsson E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.12

Avg xA / game 1.38

KA Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnason J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Baldvinsson B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KR Reykjavik 83 / 100

KA Akureyri 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

KR Reykjavik KA Akureyri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KRR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KR Reykjavik found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Away concern: KA Akureyri has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: KA Akureyri conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

KR Reykjavik VS KA Akureyri

2.75 Goals Scored 1.63

2.63 Goals Conceded 2.38

100% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 75%

75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vikingur Reykjavik	14	13	1	0	48:9	40
2	KR Reykjavik	14	9	2	3	48:34	29
3	Fram	13	8	3	2	32:25	27
4	Breidablik	13	6	4	3	32:25	22
5	Valur	14	6	1	7	24:27	19
6	Keflavik	13	4	4	5	18:24	16
7	Stjarnan	14	4	3	7	28:31	15
8	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	13	4	3	6	22:26	15
9	Akranes	13	4	3	6	17:25	15
10	KA Akureyri	13	3	1	9	19:28	10
11	Hafnarfjordur	13	1	5	7	18:31	8
12	Thor Akureyri	13	2	2	9	14:35	8