Sport Picks
Krasnodar vs Akhmat Grozny - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Russian Cup Ozon Arena, Krasnodar 
Match Events
10'
10'
Shchetinin K.
46'
46'
Sub
Mukailov K. In: Vorobyev D.
Out: Mukailov K.
46'
46'
Sub
Vakhania I. In: Krivtsov N.
Out: Vakhania I.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Krasnodar carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Krasnodar a 35% chance of winning this.
- Krasnodar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Krasnodar, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Krasnodar here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Krasnodar Clean Sheet 20%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Krasnodar | Akhmat Grozny |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 3 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Premier League
Krasnodar vs Akhmat Grozny
1:0
Aug 5, 2026 Russian Cup
Krasnodar vs Akhmat Grozny
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Krasnodar
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Premier League
Krasnodar vs Akhmat Grozny
2:0
Apr 19, 2025 Premier League
Krasnodar vs Akhmat Grozny
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Krasnodar Compare
Top Goalscorer Utkin D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Akhmat Grozny Compare
Top Goalscorer Samorodov M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Krasnodar 76 / 100
Akhmat Grozny 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Krasnodar Akhmat Grozny
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Krasnodar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Krasnodar scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.
Akhmat Grozny let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Krasnodar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Krasnodar VS Akhmat Grozny
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Krasnodar
(Home) 10 Oct
Krasnodar
2 : 3 Zenit St Petersburg
03 Oct
FK Rostov
0 : 3 Krasnodar
17 Sept
Orenburg
0 : 0 Krasnodar
13 Sept
Krasnodar
1 : 1 Akron Togliatti
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2 Krasnodar
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10 Oct
Krasnodar
2 : 3 Zenit St Petersburg
13 Sept
Krasnodar
1 : 1 Akron Togliatti
29 Aug
Krasnodar
1 : 0 FK Rostov
15 Aug
Krasnodar
1 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
05 Aug
Krasnodar
2 : 1 Akhmat Grozny
Page 1 of 3
Akhmat Grozny
(Away) 17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2 Dynamo Makhachkala
07 Sept
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1 Akhmat Grozny
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
29 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 3 Krylya Sovetov Samara
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
07 Sept
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1 Akhmat Grozny
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
15 Aug
Krasnodar
1 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
10 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Rubin Kazan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 3 | Orenburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Akhmat Grozny | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Fakel Voronezh | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Baltika | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Rostov | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Akron Togliatti | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 5 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:2 | 2 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
